Küsimus pole selles, kas Venemaa ründab. Küsimus on millal," ütles Eesti terviseameti peadirektori asetäitja Ragnar Vaiknemets.
Eestis varustatakse kiirabimeeskonnad killuvestidega ning soetatakse satelliittelefone, et tagada side ka siis, kui tavasidevõrgud ei tööta. Plaanis on vajadusel luua isegi sõltumatu internetivõrk.
Ma ei kujuta ette töötamist haigla kõige kõrgematel korrustel, et ainult oodata, millal see tabamuse saab," rääkis Vaiknemets. Seepärast valmistavadki haiglad ette keldrikorruseid võimalikeks operatsioonisaalidena toimimiseks…
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Vanasti lasti paniköörid koha peal maha.
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Koolides võiks taastada tsiviilkaitse tunnid, kus õpetatakse droonide kasutamist, kaevikute kaevamist, varjumist ja esmaabi andmist. Veremaal juba tehakse, mis meil viga on, et valmistuda ei võiks?
Reformierakonna juhtimisel aga suur panus riigikaitsesse https://www.delfi.ee/artikkel/120385628/riigikaitsekomisjoni-raport-hakkab-valmima-kiili-eesti-peab-oma-ressurssidega-vaga-efektiivne-olema
Päris huvitav postitus, kuidas Venemaa drooniparvesid arendab. Sh siis ka see, et droonid suhtlevad omavahel - millist tüüpi sidet on tunduvalt raskem segada.
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FT kirjutab täna NATO idatiivast ja ka t!bla toimetamistest (petrozavodskis ja severomorskis on ehitatud ja laiendatud rajatisi). Rohelised mehikesed Teravmägedel? Huvitav teooria.
Military experts say Moscow’s interest in border states in the Nato’s east is different to how it views Ukraine. Rather than a full-scale invasion, Putin will likely test whether Nato would or could respond.
“For Russia, the strategic goal would be to break Nato; it’s not about acquiring a bit of land in the Baltics or elsewhere,” says Kristi Raik, director of the International Centre for Defence and Security (ICDS) in Estonia.
At the northernmost point of the eastern flank sits Norway. Sharing a 200km border with Russia, it is bulking up its military. The government plans to expand from 1 army brigade to 3 by 2032, with 2 stationed in the north. Its land forces in the border region of Finnmark will be supplemented by air defence weapons, an artillery and light infantry battalion, an intelligence, and a rapid reaction force. A new heavy infantry brigade will be also set up.
Few think a Russian attack on Nato would begin with the frigid north of mainland Norway. But there are concerns about a small test on the demilitarised Arctic archipelago of Svalbard, which is Norwegian territory but also home to a Russian settlement. “Svalbard has to be near the top of a list on where Russia might try something,” says one European intelligence official.
Led by Sweden, Nato land forces are to be based in the sparsely populated Lapland and will include troops from Denmark, France, Iceland, Norway and the UK.
Finland’s border with Russia may be long, at 1,340km, but it is also sparsely populated and often difficult terrain. Border guards in Finland are a military org. and can engage the enemy immediately with rifles and anti-tank weapons. Finland has also kept conscription in place, and less than 10% of its wartime strength of 280,000 troops would be professional. It has almost 900,000 reservists it could call on and surveys show more than 80% of Finns are ready to fight, one of the highest levels in the world. Ukraine has shown that the sheer number of troops is still highly important to have in the first world war-style trench warfare that has characterised the conflict, alongside the widespread use of drones.
Nato’s new motto is to defend its territory from the first centimetre, but it’s clear that in Finland temporarily ceding ground would be part of defence plan. “You entice the enemy to move into territory you have prepared. Let nature do some of the work. There is lots of forest; in the north, there are bogs and marshland and in the far north it is very cold. We will rely on nature more.” Finland would evacuate civilians away from the border to avoid them being targeted and destroy roads and bridges close to its border. Finland has reserves of all types of fuel and lubrication to last 6 months, enough grain for almost 9 months, and contracts with a range of local companies to convert their production lines to wartime provision if required. All operational centres have 30 metres of granite on top of them. Russia can drop a nuclear bomb, and you would notice it but survive. There’s bomb shelters for 4.4mn people. Fighter jets are under 30m of granite too.
The mood in the Baltics is palpably tenser, less due to Russia’s behaviour and more to Trump’s, in particular his humiliation of Zelenskyy at the White House in February. This confrontation “really shook people”, says ICDS’s Raik. “We can’t necessarily rely on the US any more. The anxiety is high.”
Lithuania’s president Nausėda says that the Baltics need to have a plan a, b, and c as questions swirl about the US commitment to Europe. A senior Baltic official is blunter: “The Americans are leaving. We all have to wake up to that and deal with it.” Another difference to Finland is that the Baltics have big cities close to Russia, e.g. Vilnius is just 30km from the border of Belarus, a Russia’s vassal state.
Multinational battalions have been placed in each of the Baltic states and Poland, with Germany upgrading its presence in Lithuania in the coming years to a full brigade of about 5,000 soldiers, ca 7x its current number in the country. The idea is that foreign troops from the likes of the US, UK, France and Canada would also be involved from the start of any conflict. Lithuania wants to have a national division of 17,500 troops by 2030; Estonia has a wartime strength of about 43,000 troops; Latvia has reintroduced conscription. There’s mass evacuation plans. Terrain will also play an important part, Estonia’s border with Russia includes a river, Europe’s fourth-largest lake, and swamps in its south-east. There are swamps in Latvia and Lithuania too.
Poland’s proximity to the war in Ukraine and its long border with Belarus make it a key bulwark against any future Russian aggression. PM Tusk has proposed more than doubling the country’s army to 500,000 troops and establishing a system of military training for all adult men by the end of the year. Then there’s Belarusian Luninets air base, about 200km from both Poland and Lithuania. Satellite imagery shows new structures, protective bays for aircraft and additional military equipment appearing within the last few years.
Poland’s most ambitious border protection project is the €2,3bn ‘East Shield’, which involves a mix of air defence systems and ground infrastructure, ranging from anti-tank ditches to hedgehog obstacles and mined soil.
Kusti Salm, a former Estonian high-ranking defence official says research suggests that it takes 10 artillery shells to kill one soldier in the open, but 300 in a bunker.
While the Suwalki Gap may be a vulnerability, Baltic officials believe Nato could put pressure on Kaliningrad in case of any attack, such as a potential blockade of the Baltic Sea. But any failure to respond robustly to future aggression from Moscow would signal the end of the alliance, says the ICDS’s Raik. Much may therefore depend on whether Putin feels emboldened by the outcome of his war in Ukraine.
Mitte ainult teooria. Teravmäed on Svalbardi leppe tõttu üsna unikaalne piirkond maailmas, mis ei kuulu eksklusiivselt Norrale, vaid kõigil lepinguriikidel on õigus seal majandustegevusega tegeleda. NLiit seda ka tegi, kaevandades sütt. Kui süsi otsa sai tõmmati nahui, aga nüüd on tiblad taas aktiviseerunud, lüües asulatesse, kus kunagi nende kirsad kolisesid, Venemaa lippe püsti ja pidasid 2023 seal maha mingi perverse militaarstiilis “võidupüha paraadi”. Viimaste arengute järgi süüdistatakse Norrat Teravmägede militariseerimises, luues sellega retoorikapatja “võtmaks kasutusele vastumeetmeid”.
Siin nad on - rohelised mehikesed Teravmägedel:
