Tegin natukene pattu ning panin huvilistele Pro alla üles reedese analüüsi Citigroupilt Swedbanki ja SEBi kohta. Käistletud on natukene ka inflatsiooniteemat ning kinnisvaraturgu Baltikumis.
See ka mõni patt....
Sel juhul head lugemist : )
Morgan Stanley on teinud huvitavat statistikat riikide kaupa Euroopas. Võrreldes Euroopa keskmisega, kasutavad Itaalia, Hispaania ja Prantsusmaa firmad vähem omafinantseeringut ja rohkem laenuraha. Kui krediidiprobleemid suurenevad, peaks nende riikide ettevõtete situatsioon kehvem olema võrreldes näiteks Saksamaa firmadega.
Kommentaar ka Euroopa tarbija kohta: Consumer spending looks set for a slowdown after an unsustainably strong first half of the year. After all, wages are barely rising once we account for inflation, and both tax pressure and interest rates have risen in the recent past. Forward-looking consumers are likely to react, allowing their savings to rise and their consumption growth to fall.
Viimasel ajal on palju räägitud Doug Kassist ning tema on peale oma ringreisi Euroopas suurimaid Euroopa indekseid shortima hakanud, viidates just tarbija isegi suuremale potentsiaalsele nõrkusele kui USA-s. Raske uskuda, et tarbija Euroopas keerulisemas situatsioonis on, kuid tarbimiskulutusi võidakse küll tublisti koomale tõmmata.
USA aktsiaturgude futuurid on hetkel indikeerimas päeva algust nullis. Naftahind aga 1.2% kõrgemal.
Merrill Lynch upgrades Yahoo! (YHOO 26.82) to Buy from Neutral
Sel aastal jõuluvana ei tule?
USA jaemüüginäitajad tõotavad tulla sel jõulumüügihooajal hädiseimad alates 2002. aastast - J.C. Penney Co (JCP), Starbucks (SBUX) ja FedEx (FDX) on läinud nädalal aina tugevamalt märku andnud jahtuvast majanduskliimast ning seeläbi ka tarbimisest.
PICTET: ‘‘The reports this past week indicate that things are really bad,’’ Patricia Edwards, a Seattle-based money manager at Wentworth, Hauser & Violich, said Nov. 16. Her firm manages $11.9 billion in assets, including shares of several store- chains. ‘‘Early indications are this is going to be a much slower time going forward than previously expected,’’ she said.
The surge in borrowing costs and the worst U.S. housing slump in 16 years are discouraging consumers from spending, analysts said. Retailers reported slowing sales in September and October, and analysts said chains catering to middle-income customers may be hurt the most in the next six weeks.
FedEx Corp., the second-largest U.S. package-shipping company, cut its profit forecast on Nov. 16 for a second time because of rising fuel costs and weak freight demand.
Shares of retailers have been plunging since the holiday sales season started Nov. 1. The Standard & Poor’s 500 retail index is down 9 percent this month, including a 23 percent drop by J.C. Penney, the third-largest U.S. department-store chain.
The holiday selling season’s losers may be the companies that don’t manage to adjust their variable costs like store hours and advertising to compensate for decelerating sales. Such discipline helped Macy’s Inc. and Williams-Sonoma Inc. affirm their profit forecasts this past week.
Lowe's raporteeris oma kolmanda kvartali tulemused ning andis samas ka neljanda kvartali prognoosid, mis olid päirs koledad - juhtkonna sõnul samas ka konservatiivsed. SSS prognoos viimaseks kvartaliks jääb -3-5% vahemikku:
reports Q3 (Oct) earnings of $0.43 per share, includes $0.05 gain, may not be comparable to the Reuters Estimates consensus of $0.41; revenues rose 3.2% year/year to $11.56 bln vs the $11.78 bln consensus. The company expects comparable store sales for Q4 of -3-5%.Co issues downside guidance for Q4, sees EPS of $0.25-0.29 vs. $0.36 consensus.
"The home improvement consumer remains pressured by the ongoing housing correction, tighter credit standards in the mortgage market, and rising financial obligations, but we believe our guidance for the fourth quarter reflects these factors and is appropriately conservative given the uncertainties that exist," Niblock concluded.
"Pressures on our industry are likely to continue well into 2008, but we remain committed to our goal of providing great products and unmatched customer service and capitalizing on opportunities to ensure we gain profitable market share regardless of the level of industry growth."
Lühike ülevaade, mida võib Dow teooriale põhinedes aktsiaturgude olukorrast välja lugeda.
Artikkel sellest (vene keeles), kuidas Vimpelcom (VIP) kavatseb vallutada Aasia ja MTS (MBT) Aafrika turge.
USA suurimate indeksite futuurid on 0.5% miinuses. Goldman on downgradenud Citigroupi, uskudes, et järjekordsed $15 miljardit kirjutatakse krediidiprobleemide tõttu maha. Aktsia eelturul üle 2.5% miinuses. Võimatu öelda selle peale, kas aktsia on üle või alahinnatud kuid annab märku jätkuvalt riskitasemest.
NC vahendusel
Euroseas (NASDAQ:ESEA): Target upped to $21 from $17 at Oppenheimer
Oppenheimer is out on Euroseas (NASDAQ:ESEA) raising their tgt to $21 from $17 as they believe the company is poised to realize meaningful fleet growth. Accordingly, ESEA has the potential to deliver solid YoY earnings growth in 2008, even if dry-bulk rates stagnate. Furthermore, ESEA's balanced fleet mix of dry-bulk and container vessels should enable the company to participate in the currently strong dry- bulk rate environment while, at the same time, increasingly capitalizing on the rapidly growing inter-Asian container trade, which appears to be well suited for the company's small container fleet. Management's chartering and S&P strategy should continue to drive solid ROIC performance.
With the shares currently trading at 7.0x 2008 EPS estimate of $2.05, a 28.7% discount to dry- bulk universe (net ESEA), the firm believes ESEA presents compelling value in light of its growth potential.
Notablecalls: The dry-bulk space continues to be among traders' favs here. With the stock down over 1/3 over the past couple of weeks and OpCo coming out with such strong comments, it's due for a bounce. Also, note that technically, the stock rests right above its 200MA.
Euroseas (NASDAQ:ESEA): Target upped to $21 from $17 at Oppenheimer
Oppenheimer is out on Euroseas (NASDAQ:ESEA) raising their tgt to $21 from $17 as they believe the company is poised to realize meaningful fleet growth. Accordingly, ESEA has the potential to deliver solid YoY earnings growth in 2008, even if dry-bulk rates stagnate. Furthermore, ESEA's balanced fleet mix of dry-bulk and container vessels should enable the company to participate in the currently strong dry- bulk rate environment while, at the same time, increasingly capitalizing on the rapidly growing inter-Asian container trade, which appears to be well suited for the company's small container fleet. Management's chartering and S&P strategy should continue to drive solid ROIC performance.
With the shares currently trading at 7.0x 2008 EPS estimate of $2.05, a 28.7% discount to dry- bulk universe (net ESEA), the firm believes ESEA presents compelling value in light of its growth potential.
Notablecalls: The dry-bulk space continues to be among traders' favs here. With the stock down over 1/3 over the past couple of weeks and OpCo coming out with such strong comments, it's due for a bounce. Also, note that technically, the stock rests right above its 200MA.
Speedy, correct me if I´m wrong - Esea raisis stocki müügiga a 107 m$. Kuskilt jäi meelde, et drybulk-carrierite hind on kuskil 50-100 m$, st. et saadud papi eest saavad nad osta 2 uut (st. kasutatud) laeva?
loe selle aasta pressiteateid
saad pildi ette erinevate laevade hindadest ja palju nad sisse võiksid tuua
saad pildi ette erinevate laevade hindadest ja palju nad sisse võiksid tuua
seelle laeva hinna võtsin DRYS-i pressikast, vaevalt et esea numbrid eriti erinevad sellest, olen kyll esea omadel silma peal hoidnud, kuid pole laeva hindade jutule sattunud, eks otsin vanematest
Goldman on downgradenud Citigroupi ja samas usub Dow Jones tõusu 1600 juurde? Kui suure osakaalu Citigroup annab Dow Jones koosseisus?
OK, panamax M/V Trust Jakarta maksis siis 28,6 m$. Augustis ostetud laev 24m$. Selliseid saaks siis 4tk. Samas DRYS-i preesikast:
To build a new panamax costs $53 mil, but a five-year-old panamax would cost $85 mil, Mavrinac says. Once the company buys a used ship, the ship can be put on the water right away to take advantage of strong spot rates, but it will take two to three years for a new ship to be delivered. DryShips didn't want to wait
Laeva suurusest küll juttu pole, ju siis asi selles
To build a new panamax costs $53 mil, but a five-year-old panamax would cost $85 mil, Mavrinac says. Once the company buys a used ship, the ship can be put on the water right away to take advantage of strong spot rates, but it will take two to three years for a new ship to be delivered. DryShips didn't want to wait
Laeva suurusest küll juttu pole, ju siis asi selles
Henno, kui sa meie vahendatud kirjutisest infot võtsid, siis jutt käis S&P 500st. Mul ei ole küll hetkel aega otsida, aga mälu järgi tähendas transpordi kukkumine mitte ainult DJIA langemist, vaid kõikide laiapõhjaliste indeksite (sh S&P 500) kukkumist.
WN
siis tasub alustada sellest, et teha selgeks, mis on ESEA erinevus võrreldes teiste sektori firmadega?
näiteks võrreldes DRYS'ga
siis tasub alustada sellest, et teha selgeks, mis on ESEA erinevus võrreldes teiste sektori firmadega?
näiteks võrreldes DRYS'ga
Madis
S&P500 jah, Dow 1600 oleks veidi pessimistlik :)
Veidi susserdasin, sest Sinu loos oli juttu nii Dowst kui S&P500st, aga kas finantssektor pole mitte suurim S&P500 suurim komponet ja seal omakorda Citigroup suurim komponent? Veidi vastukäivad on need arvamused igal juhul?
S&P500 jah, Dow 1600 oleks veidi pessimistlik :)
Veidi susserdasin, sest Sinu loos oli juttu nii Dowst kui S&P500st, aga kas finantssektor pole mitte suurim S&P500 suurim komponet ja seal omakorda Citigroup suurim komponent? Veidi vastukäivad on need arvamused igal juhul?
Henno, tõepoolest annavad indeksile enam kaalu finantsettevõtted:
Finantssektor moodustab hetkel 20.4% indeksist ning Citigroup on tõesti sektori üks suuremaid komponente (ainult BAC on suurem), moodustades indeksi koosseisust 1.32%. Kuigi Citi downgrade'mine ja turutõusu ootused on vastuolulised, siis üks ei välista teist. Lisaks oodatakse paljude turuosaliste poolt finantssektoris veel aastalõpurallit ning lõpetuseks - nii suure maja, nagu Goldman Sachs, üks arm ei peagi teadma, mida teine teeb. :)
Saksamaa DAX -0.74%
Prantsusmaa CAC 40 -0.44%
Inglismaa FTSE 100 -1.09%
Hispaania IBEX -0.64%
Venemaa MICEX -1.26%
Poola WIG -0.25%
Aasia turud:
Jaapani Nikkei 225 -0.74%
Hong Kongi Hang Seng -0.56%
Hiina Shanghai A (kodumaine) -0.88%
Hiina Shanghai B (välismaine) +0.54%
Lõuna-Korea Kosdaq -0.60%
Tai Set -2.52%
India Sensex -0.33%
USA on päeva alustamas ca -0.3% kuni -0.4%ga.