Kui tänaseid päevauudiseid uskuda, siis hiinlased on astunud samme, et aafriklastel oleks nüüd ja kohe parem. Pakett on jaotatud 2 ossa, üks on kohe antav tagastamatu toetus ning teine osa pikaajaline laen. Laenu täpsematest ja kaasuvatest tingimustest rääkima ei kiputa.
See artikkel räägib küll Hiina ja USA majandusest, kuid selle idee Aafrika valguses on huvipakkuv: The figures suggest that unless something really dreadful happens, China will pass Germany as the world's third largest economy about the time of the Beijing Olympics. ... One of the big problems of Chinese growth is that it has become unbalanced. They are investing too much and consuming too little and they are exporting too much and importing too little. .... Put crudely, China lends the US the money to buy its goods, mostly buying US Treasury bills. .... So China will now try to use its money better. There won't be any sudden diversification but there will be a gradual shift of emphasis into higher-yielding USA assets and a parallel shift towards building up assets in other currencies. .... They have the money; it has to go somewhere; and there is a limited supply of assets. If we knew where China would place its money we would know what to buy first. If this cycle ends with an asset-price bubble, then Asian investment will be a material player in the process.
http://news.independent.co.uk/business/comment/article1948278.ece
http://news.independent.co.uk/business/comment/article1948278.ece
Veidi mitte nii teemasse aga... Siinsete foorumikulastajate pikaajaline lemmik "keeleuuenduste" alal, Admiral Invest, laieneb Aasia suunal - avati filiaal Hiina arikeskuses "Shanhais"...
Hiina suurimaks mureks on transport. Sellest lähtuvalt ongi Aafrika loogiline jätk nende vallutustele. Seal edasi Euroopasse tulla on juba oluliselt lihtsam.
Pisut juttu Hiinast, Aafrikast ning toorainetest:
China purchases could dampen commodity speculation"
China purchases could dampen commodity speculation"
http://trade.ec.europa.eu/doclib/docs/2006/october/tradoc_130791.pdf
Äkki seekord lühiajaline inflatsioonitõus Hiinas. Aga arvestades, et töötajad ekspordisektoris teenivad üha rohkem, samal ajal kui nende toodetud kaubad kaovad välismaale, võib arvata, et inflatsioonisurve siseturul üldiselt tõuseb, ja hiljem ka muule maailmale laieneb.
China consumer prices rise most on food
Last Updated(Beijing Time):2006-12-11 11:41
Inflation in China, the world's fastest-growing major economy, accelerated more than expected in November as food costs jumped.
Consumer prices rose 1.9 percent from a year earlier, the National Bureau of Statistics said today. That was the biggest gain in 20 months, adjusted for distortions caused by the Lunar New Year holiday, and topped all estimates among 21 economists surveyed by Bloomberg News.
China consumer prices rise most on food
Last Updated(Beijing Time):2006-12-11 11:41
Inflation in China, the world's fastest-growing major economy, accelerated more than expected in November as food costs jumped.
Consumer prices rose 1.9 percent from a year earlier, the National Bureau of Statistics said today. That was the biggest gain in 20 months, adjusted for distortions caused by the Lunar New Year holiday, and topped all estimates among 21 economists surveyed by Bloomberg News.
üks eelpool kõneleja mainis olümpiamänge. oskab keegi kommenteerida kas üldse ja kuidas selline üritus võib mõjutada turgu? on varasemast mingeid järldusi kuskil tehtud või annab selle põhjal prognoosida edaspidiseid liikumisi? ning kas mängude mõju on old pikemaajalisem või hetkeline?
Inflatsioon Hiinas=>Tarbimisbuum Hiinas=>Vähem ja kallim eksport Hiinast välismaale
Wen orders crackdown on food hoarding
Last Updated(Beijing Time):2006-12-14 12:56
Premier Wen Jiabao ordered government departments to crack down on hoarding and ease supply bottlenecks to cap surging food prices that threaten to fan inflation and create social unrest, Bloomberg News reported.
Stockpiling of food by traders who speculate on future gains should be closely watched and efficient stocking, logistics and distribution ensured, Wen said on Tuesday during a tour of food markets in Beijing. His remarks were broadcast on China Central Television.
Corn, soybean oil and wheat costs have increased after global prices of the commodities reached 10-year highs in October and November as droughts in the United States and Australia cut crop yields. Food costs, which make up a third of the consumer price index in China, rose in November at the fastest pace in almost two years.
"The government's got to take a stance now on rising food costs, given that food accounts for such a large a share of consumer expenditure in China," said Zhang Qiushi, general manager of Dalian Northern Futures Brokerage Co.
The rising cost of food caused China's inflation to accelerate to 1.9 percent in November, the fastest pace in 20 months, a report showed on Tuesday. Tang Xu, research head of China's central bank, called the jump in prices "temporary."
China was set to auction 500,000 metric tons of rice yesterday and at least 650,000 tons of wheat today in a bid to bring down grain prices, which surged 5.1 percent in November from a year earlier after climbing 4.7 percent the previous month.
The government will also cap prices of oil, steel and public services including health care and education, Wen said.
Higher prices of edible oils pose a bigger threat to consumers than rising grain costs because oils account for a larger share of the average Chinese family's spending on food, said Zhang.
Wen said rising food costs will hurt low-income families the most in a nation where about 150 million people still live on less than US$1 a day.
"Surging food prices may not affect families with average incomes, but it will affect those with low incomes," Wen was quoted by Xinhua news agency as saying. "I feel at rest only when people have a stable life."
Even so, gains in food prices will benefit China's 750 million farmers, who have profited less than other groups from two decades of annual economic growth averaging almost 10 percent, Zhang said. Wen vowed to protect farmers' interests while stabilizing food prices.
Soybean oil for delivery in May 2007 fell 46 yuan (US$5.87), or 0.7 percent, to settle at 6,716 yuan a ton yesterday on the Dalian Commodities Exchange. The contract has surged 25 percent in the past seven months.
Strong-gluten wheat for delivery in September 2007 fell 15 yuan, to settle at 1,867 yuan a ton on the Zhengzhou Commodities Exchange.
http://en.ce.cn/Business/Macro-economic/
Wen orders crackdown on food hoarding
Last Updated(Beijing Time):2006-12-14 12:56
Premier Wen Jiabao ordered government departments to crack down on hoarding and ease supply bottlenecks to cap surging food prices that threaten to fan inflation and create social unrest, Bloomberg News reported.
Stockpiling of food by traders who speculate on future gains should be closely watched and efficient stocking, logistics and distribution ensured, Wen said on Tuesday during a tour of food markets in Beijing. His remarks were broadcast on China Central Television.
Corn, soybean oil and wheat costs have increased after global prices of the commodities reached 10-year highs in October and November as droughts in the United States and Australia cut crop yields. Food costs, which make up a third of the consumer price index in China, rose in November at the fastest pace in almost two years.
"The government's got to take a stance now on rising food costs, given that food accounts for such a large a share of consumer expenditure in China," said Zhang Qiushi, general manager of Dalian Northern Futures Brokerage Co.
The rising cost of food caused China's inflation to accelerate to 1.9 percent in November, the fastest pace in 20 months, a report showed on Tuesday. Tang Xu, research head of China's central bank, called the jump in prices "temporary."
China was set to auction 500,000 metric tons of rice yesterday and at least 650,000 tons of wheat today in a bid to bring down grain prices, which surged 5.1 percent in November from a year earlier after climbing 4.7 percent the previous month.
The government will also cap prices of oil, steel and public services including health care and education, Wen said.
Higher prices of edible oils pose a bigger threat to consumers than rising grain costs because oils account for a larger share of the average Chinese family's spending on food, said Zhang.
Wen said rising food costs will hurt low-income families the most in a nation where about 150 million people still live on less than US$1 a day.
"Surging food prices may not affect families with average incomes, but it will affect those with low incomes," Wen was quoted by Xinhua news agency as saying. "I feel at rest only when people have a stable life."
Even so, gains in food prices will benefit China's 750 million farmers, who have profited less than other groups from two decades of annual economic growth averaging almost 10 percent, Zhang said. Wen vowed to protect farmers' interests while stabilizing food prices.
Soybean oil for delivery in May 2007 fell 46 yuan (US$5.87), or 0.7 percent, to settle at 6,716 yuan a ton yesterday on the Dalian Commodities Exchange. The contract has surged 25 percent in the past seven months.
Strong-gluten wheat for delivery in September 2007 fell 15 yuan, to settle at 1,867 yuan a ton on the Zhengzhou Commodities Exchange.
http://en.ce.cn/Business/Macro-economic/
Kas hiina ei ole kommunistlik riik? Kas see kedagi mõtlema ei pane majandustulemustest mõtlemise kõrval?
Nõukogude liidu majandustulemused hämmastasid omal ajal lääne majandusteadlasi ja ennustati, et teatud aja pärast läheb NSVL USAst mööda. Majandusareng peale 2. Maailmasõda oli NSVLs tõesti kiire. Kas ainult turgude liberaliseerimine tagab majandusarengu jätkusuutlikuse?
Nõukogude liidu majandustulemused hämmastasid omal ajal lääne majandusteadlasi ja ennustati, et teatud aja pärast läheb NSVL USAst mööda. Majandusareng peale 2. Maailmasõda oli NSVLs tõesti kiire. Kas ainult turgude liberaliseerimine tagab majandusarengu jätkusuutlikuse?
Kuigi Hiinas on võimul Hiina Kommunistlik Partei, ei ole Hiina seetõttu veel kommunistlik riik.
Hiina on sotsialismi arengus pärast 2. maailmasõda valinud ühe kahest enamlevinud teest ehk rahvademokraatia tee, millel on püsinud enam kui 50 aastat.
Praegusel hetkel on Hiina üleminekumajandusega riik (transition economy). Samamoodi on seda ka teised idabloki maad, kaasa arvatud meie kallis Maarjamaa.
Nii nagu sotsialismi ülesehitamiseks oli maailmas enamlevinud kaks teed, on ka üleminekumajandustel 2 põhiteed: Nõukogude mudel ja Hiina mudel, mis erinevad teineteisest kahe olulisima teguri ajalise järjestuse poolest.
Nõukogude mudel algas ebatraditsiooniliselt - murrang toimus ühiskonna pealisehituses (glasnost, perestroika), millele järgnes poliitilise korra nõrgenemine, suurriigi (deržaava) lagunemine ning alles seejärel eraalgatusel baseeruva kapitalistlik majandusareng. See mudel tegi võimalikuks ka Eesti iseseisvumise.
Hiina mudeli puhul on protsess vastupidine, eraalgatusel baseeruv majandusareng on soositud, kuid kontrollitud valitseva kompartei poolt, mis samal ajal tagab riikliku terviklikkuse (Tiibet!) ja üleminekuprotsesside sujuvuse ja valutuse ühiskonna jaoks (Valgevenes on üritatud kombineerida mõlemat mudelit). Hiina mudeli puhul oleks meil jätkuvalt teine riigikeel vene keel ja isesisvusest oleksime võinud ainult unistada.
Ütleb ju justnimelt vana hiina needus: "et sa elaksid muutuvatel aegadel!"
Hiina on sotsialismi arengus pärast 2. maailmasõda valinud ühe kahest enamlevinud teest ehk rahvademokraatia tee, millel on püsinud enam kui 50 aastat.
Praegusel hetkel on Hiina üleminekumajandusega riik (transition economy). Samamoodi on seda ka teised idabloki maad, kaasa arvatud meie kallis Maarjamaa.
Nii nagu sotsialismi ülesehitamiseks oli maailmas enamlevinud kaks teed, on ka üleminekumajandustel 2 põhiteed: Nõukogude mudel ja Hiina mudel, mis erinevad teineteisest kahe olulisima teguri ajalise järjestuse poolest.
Nõukogude mudel algas ebatraditsiooniliselt - murrang toimus ühiskonna pealisehituses (glasnost, perestroika), millele järgnes poliitilise korra nõrgenemine, suurriigi (deržaava) lagunemine ning alles seejärel eraalgatusel baseeruva kapitalistlik majandusareng. See mudel tegi võimalikuks ka Eesti iseseisvumise.
Hiina mudeli puhul on protsess vastupidine, eraalgatusel baseeruv majandusareng on soositud, kuid kontrollitud valitseva kompartei poolt, mis samal ajal tagab riikliku terviklikkuse (Tiibet!) ja üleminekuprotsesside sujuvuse ja valutuse ühiskonna jaoks (Valgevenes on üritatud kombineerida mõlemat mudelit). Hiina mudeli puhul oleks meil jätkuvalt teine riigikeel vene keel ja isesisvusest oleksime võinud ainult unistada.
Ütleb ju justnimelt vana hiina needus: "et sa elaksid muutuvatel aegadel!"
Tarbimis-, laenamis-, toiduainete varumisbuum Hiinas peaks olema teemaks terve maailmamajandusele:
Rising grain prices will push up CPI
Last Updated(Beijing Time):2007-01-08 16:24
Rising grain prices in China will contribute to a rise of 2.5 percent in the country's consumer price index (CPI) in 2007, a steep rise on the 1.4 percent predicted for 2006, said Qi Jingmei, an expert with the State Information Center.
Grain prices will grow six percent in 2007, outpacing last year's rise and becoming the major contributor to price hikes in 2007.
To restrain price hikes, China released 4.3 billion kilograms of grain reserves onto the market during November and December, but grain prices will not fall until new crops are harvested in the first half of 2007, said Qi.
Rising grain prices will push up CPI
Last Updated(Beijing Time):2007-01-08 16:24
Rising grain prices in China will contribute to a rise of 2.5 percent in the country's consumer price index (CPI) in 2007, a steep rise on the 1.4 percent predicted for 2006, said Qi Jingmei, an expert with the State Information Center.
Grain prices will grow six percent in 2007, outpacing last year's rise and becoming the major contributor to price hikes in 2007.
To restrain price hikes, China released 4.3 billion kilograms of grain reserves onto the market during November and December, but grain prices will not fall until new crops are harvested in the first half of 2007, said Qi.
Mädanik Hiina südames: http://www.guardian.co.uk/china/story/0,,1984960,00.html - ka selles muu hulgas mis suhtes Hiina "võimas" "tõus" on suurest hype ja savijalgadel koloss.
Kui keegi räägib sellest, et Hiina hakkab kunagi USAlt võlgu välja nõudma, siis see on suht utoopia. Sest ainult majandus ise pole A ja O. USAs on piisavalt tsentraalne võim, et vajadusel maailmakorda muuta (USA kasuks). Neil on mitte ainult tuumarelvastus, vaid ka konkurentsitult võimsaim tavarelvastus, et vajadusel Hiina võlanõudmiste osas läbi rääkida. Miks eeldada, et USA on Teise maailmasõja ajast kardinaalselt muutunud? Nii et liiga pikkade prognooside puhul tuleb ka taoliste teguritega arvestada :) Hiina saamine supervõimuks sõltub ikka USA enda nõrkusest ja saamatusest poliitilise kontrolli kehtestamisel. Aga praegusest rikkamaks saab Hiina kindlasti, ka majanduskasv jätkub (isegi kui tuleb mõneaastane tagasilöök). Praegu on Hiina kaugel sellest, et ohustaks USA ülemvõimu. Eks Iraan ole esimeseks kontrollpostiks, kas Hiina suudab USAd kuidagigi mõjutada enda kasuks.
Erinevad tendentsid indikeerivad et Hiina kaubad kallinevad lõpuks. USDCNY ka suhteliselt kiiresti langenud viimati.
""
Economist expects higher inflation rate this year
Last Updated(Beijing Time):2007-01-17 10:35
China's consumer price index (CPI),a major inflation indicator, could jump by 3 percent this year or double last year's CPI increase, said Wang Jian, secretary-general of the Chinese Academy of Macro-Economy.
Inflation control will be a major priority of the government, Wang said in an interview, adding that a CPI increase beyond three percent can't be ruled out.
The recent hikes in grain prices are sure to cause the CPI to rise, he said.
Despite bumper crops last year the price of wheat, corn and soybean, have been on the rise since November 2006, due to increasing prices on international markets. The Chinese government released some of its national stockpiles in an attempt to offset price jumps, but they have still risen beyond the government's target level.
In the first 11 months of 2006, China's CPI rose 1.3 percent over the same 2005 period, but in November it rose 1.9 percent compared to the same month in the previous year. It was the highest monthly rise of the year.
Some economists predicted the December's CPI would jump to 2.5 percent due to rising cost of food, which is a major component of the CPI.
While maintaining a GDP growth rate of around 10 percent annually over the past number of years, China has controlled inflation at a fairly low level. The CPI in 2005 rose by 1.8 percent.
-
China's grain prices rose 3.6 percent in December over the previous month, a year-on-year increase of 9.1 percent, the central bank reported yesterday.
According to data released by the People's Bank of China, the nation's corporate goods price in December climbed 5.1 percent year on year, indicating growing inflation pressure. The CGP index, previously called the wholesale price index, reflects price changes of products traded between companies, and traced overall price fluctuations together with the consumer price index.
""
Economist expects higher inflation rate this year
Last Updated(Beijing Time):2007-01-17 10:35
China's consumer price index (CPI),a major inflation indicator, could jump by 3 percent this year or double last year's CPI increase, said Wang Jian, secretary-general of the Chinese Academy of Macro-Economy.
Inflation control will be a major priority of the government, Wang said in an interview, adding that a CPI increase beyond three percent can't be ruled out.
The recent hikes in grain prices are sure to cause the CPI to rise, he said.
Despite bumper crops last year the price of wheat, corn and soybean, have been on the rise since November 2006, due to increasing prices on international markets. The Chinese government released some of its national stockpiles in an attempt to offset price jumps, but they have still risen beyond the government's target level.
In the first 11 months of 2006, China's CPI rose 1.3 percent over the same 2005 period, but in November it rose 1.9 percent compared to the same month in the previous year. It was the highest monthly rise of the year.
Some economists predicted the December's CPI would jump to 2.5 percent due to rising cost of food, which is a major component of the CPI.
While maintaining a GDP growth rate of around 10 percent annually over the past number of years, China has controlled inflation at a fairly low level. The CPI in 2005 rose by 1.8 percent.
-
China's grain prices rose 3.6 percent in December over the previous month, a year-on-year increase of 9.1 percent, the central bank reported yesterday.
According to data released by the People's Bank of China, the nation's corporate goods price in December climbed 5.1 percent year on year, indicating growing inflation pressure. The CGP index, previously called the wholesale price index, reflects price changes of products traded between companies, and traced overall price fluctuations together with the consumer price index.
Ajaloost võib leida Hispaania ja Prantsusmaa sajandi. 19. sajand oli Inglismaa oma ja 20. USA oma (suurvõimuna). Tasapisi tuleb end harjutada mõttega, et 21. sajand on Hiina sajand.
Salary surge expected to continue this year
Last Updated(Beijing Time):2007-01-19 10:44
Salaries in China surged last year and are expected to increase further this year, according to a survey conducted by global human resources firm Mercer Human Resources Consulting.
The survey showed wages in China rose an average 7.94 percent year-on-year in 2006. And Mercer estimated salaries would continue to increase by 7.7 percent in 2007.
Wages in China's oil and IT industries saw a substantial increase of 8.3 percent last year.
The survey covered 1,800 domestic and foreign enter-prises in industries including high-tech, IT, pharmaceuticals, manufacturing, retail, auto, oil and finance.
Shanghai saw the strongest pay surge, with average wages increasing 7.7 percent. Guangzhou and Beijing followed at 7.6 percent and 7.2 percent respectively.
For the high-tech industry, salaries increased in Shanghai, Guangzhou and Beijing 7.3 percent, 6.9 percent and 6.5 percent respectively.
Car industry wages climbed 8.3 percent, 7.9 percent and 7.8 percent respectively in Shanghai, Guangzhou and Beijing.
Mercer's survey was carried out in 13 Chinese cities including Beijing, Shanghai and Guangzhou, and second-tier cities such as North China's Tianjin Municipality, Nanjing and Suzhou in East China's Jiangsu Province, as well as Dalian in Northeast China's Liaoning Province.
The survey also showed that salaries of mid-level managerial staff climbed 8.5 percent, much higher than the average of all employees interviewed.
Middle managers' pay increased 8.7 percent, 8.6 percent and 8.4 percent in Shanghai, Guangzhou and Beijing respectively last year.
But despite higher pay, middle managers preferred to job hop according to the survey, indicating they were the most sought-after employees in the job market.
Salary and remuneration packages have become a key factor for employees, said Brenda Wilson, managing director of Mercer China.
"Employers are faced with two great pressures the drain of excellent employees and increasing salary costs," said Wilson.
Analysts said that given the competitive employment climate, employers needed to find more efficient tools to retain high-caliber staff. A decent salary and attractive remuneration package were considered the most common measures.
"Employers realize they should adopt a new talent introduction and retaining mechanism," said Wilson. She said this would involve recognizing outstanding employees by widening the salary gap, formulating a quick-response pay adjusting system, and providing good conditions such as flexible working hours.
Last Updated(Beijing Time):2007-01-19 10:44
Salaries in China surged last year and are expected to increase further this year, according to a survey conducted by global human resources firm Mercer Human Resources Consulting.
The survey showed wages in China rose an average 7.94 percent year-on-year in 2006. And Mercer estimated salaries would continue to increase by 7.7 percent in 2007.
Wages in China's oil and IT industries saw a substantial increase of 8.3 percent last year.
The survey covered 1,800 domestic and foreign enter-prises in industries including high-tech, IT, pharmaceuticals, manufacturing, retail, auto, oil and finance.
Shanghai saw the strongest pay surge, with average wages increasing 7.7 percent. Guangzhou and Beijing followed at 7.6 percent and 7.2 percent respectively.
For the high-tech industry, salaries increased in Shanghai, Guangzhou and Beijing 7.3 percent, 6.9 percent and 6.5 percent respectively.
Car industry wages climbed 8.3 percent, 7.9 percent and 7.8 percent respectively in Shanghai, Guangzhou and Beijing.
Mercer's survey was carried out in 13 Chinese cities including Beijing, Shanghai and Guangzhou, and second-tier cities such as North China's Tianjin Municipality, Nanjing and Suzhou in East China's Jiangsu Province, as well as Dalian in Northeast China's Liaoning Province.
The survey also showed that salaries of mid-level managerial staff climbed 8.5 percent, much higher than the average of all employees interviewed.
Middle managers' pay increased 8.7 percent, 8.6 percent and 8.4 percent in Shanghai, Guangzhou and Beijing respectively last year.
But despite higher pay, middle managers preferred to job hop according to the survey, indicating they were the most sought-after employees in the job market.
Salary and remuneration packages have become a key factor for employees, said Brenda Wilson, managing director of Mercer China.
"Employers are faced with two great pressures the drain of excellent employees and increasing salary costs," said Wilson.
Analysts said that given the competitive employment climate, employers needed to find more efficient tools to retain high-caliber staff. A decent salary and attractive remuneration package were considered the most common measures.
"Employers realize they should adopt a new talent introduction and retaining mechanism," said Wilson. She said this would involve recognizing outstanding employees by widening the salary gap, formulating a quick-response pay adjusting system, and providing good conditions such as flexible working hours.
Hiina yoy-CPI tõusis nov->dets 1,9%->2,8%. Ilmselt suuresti toiduainehindade tõusu tõttu, aga huvitav dünaamika võiks vabaneda kui inflatsioon kanda kinnitab.
kristjan.lepik,
kas ma eksin või oli Sul mingi ajalugu China Life'ga? Kas ning milliselt tasemelt julgeksid ostupoolel olla? Oht jätkuvale kasumivõtule on muidugi reaalne.
kas ma eksin või oli Sul mingi ajalugu China Life'ga? Kas ning milliselt tasemelt julgeksid ostupoolel olla? Oht jätkuvale kasumivõtule on muidugi reaalne.
Kirjutasin kunagi Ekspressis, et see võiks olla huvitav investeering, aga siis oli hinnatase ligikaudu 4x tänasest madalam ning täna oleks ma pigem müümas - odava aktsiaga tegu pole.