jim, 4 minuti pärast on konverentsikõne, siis saad otse tegevdirektorilt arvamusi : )
Joel 06/10/08 15:23 kommentaari juurde ... USA ca 350 suurima tööstusettevõttel (umbes niipalju on vist S&P500 seas tööstusettevõtteid) on vaba raha ca 620B USD, seega mitte kõik ei ole veel kurjast vaevatud :)
kas keegi teab mingeid häid finantspsühholooge? mul parem käsi nats tõmbleb ülepingest, hajutasin kogu päeva riske
Brazil's Bovespa trading stopped after 10 percent drop at open- Bloomberg
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The Search for a Catalyst
By Rev Shark
RealMoney.com Contributor
10/6/2008 9:08 AM EDT
Every big down open lately has been a buy for at least a brief bounce. It is the late-day selloff that has been the real problem for the market. Even when we do bounce off opening lows, traders are so anxious to take profits, it doesn't last for long.
The big question is what is the catalyst for upside from here? A lot of folks are looking for interest-rate cuts to save us. It is probably far more important that the European Central Bank cuts at this point rather than the Fed because of how hawkish they have been for so long. Nonetheless, an interest-rate cut at this point is like putting a Band-Aid on a broken leg. It isn't going to help much, since the real problems are far deeper.
I suspect traders will be anxious to try to play for a bounce again, but the time frames here are getting shorter and shorter. If you aren't watching the market every minute, you shouldn't be playing the bottom-fishing game in this environment.
-----------------------------
Ülespoole avanevad:
In reaction to strong earnings/guidance: FEED +5.8%... M&A news: IMCL +5.3% (confirms it will be acquired by Lilly for $70/share)... Select gold related stocks showing strength with higher spot prices: AUY +7.1%, ABX +4.3%, AEM +4.1%, SLV +3.3%, GLD +2.7%, NEM +1.6%, GOLD +1.1%... Other news: ARIA +7.2% (announces favorable ruling permitting immediate appeal of district court findings on NF-(kappa)B patent in Amgen litigation), UIS +6.5% (Steel Partners II LP reports a 5.4% stake in the co in a 13D).
Allapoole avanevad:
In reaction to disappointing earnings/guidance: XIDE -2.8% (light volume), EBAY -1.8% (also reaches agreement to acquire Bill Me Later for ~$820 mln in cash and ~$125 mln worth of outstanding options)... Select financial names showing weakness: NCC -20.8% (Fitch has downgraded NCC and its subsidiary, National City Bank's, long and short-term Issuer Default Ratings), UCBH -18.0%, RBS -16.7%, SOV -13.5%, AIG -12.2% (Moody's downgrades AIG (senior to A3); ratings remain under review), FRE -11.4%, FNM -10.4%, ABK -10.4% (releases selected monthly data for August; cost of 5-yr credit default protection against Ambac Assurance default declined 900 bps from June), BCS -6.3%, C -6.0% (granted emergency injunctive relief extending exclusivity agreement between Citi and Wachovia), BAC -4.8%, UBS -4.5% (ests cut at Oppenheimer), JPM -4.0%, WB -3.4% (granted emergency injunctive relief extending exclusivity agreement between Citi and Wachovia), WFC -2.8%... Select solar stocks trading lower: CSIQ -10.9%, ESLR -9.1%, STP -8.7%, LDK -6.8%, JASO -6.2%, FSLR -5.9%, YGE -4.7%... Select tech-related stocks showing weakness: RIMM -4.2%, AAPL -4.0%, ORCL -2.5%, DELL -2.4%, GOOG -2.3%, SNDK -1.0%... Other news: POT -8.7% (still checking), SI -7.3% (still checking for anything specific), AAUK -6.2% and RTP -4.7% (dropped ~10% in overseas trading)... Analyst comments: MT -9.3% (downgraded to Hold at Deutsche Bank), SPF -7.1% (downgraded to Underweight at JPMorgan), FLEX -6.8% (downgraded to Hold at Collins Stewart), KO -2.8% (downgraded to Hold at Deutsche Bank).
By Rev Shark
RealMoney.com Contributor
10/6/2008 9:08 AM EDT
Every big down open lately has been a buy for at least a brief bounce. It is the late-day selloff that has been the real problem for the market. Even when we do bounce off opening lows, traders are so anxious to take profits, it doesn't last for long.
The big question is what is the catalyst for upside from here? A lot of folks are looking for interest-rate cuts to save us. It is probably far more important that the European Central Bank cuts at this point rather than the Fed because of how hawkish they have been for so long. Nonetheless, an interest-rate cut at this point is like putting a Band-Aid on a broken leg. It isn't going to help much, since the real problems are far deeper.
I suspect traders will be anxious to try to play for a bounce again, but the time frames here are getting shorter and shorter. If you aren't watching the market every minute, you shouldn't be playing the bottom-fishing game in this environment.
-----------------------------
Ülespoole avanevad:
In reaction to strong earnings/guidance: FEED +5.8%... M&A news: IMCL +5.3% (confirms it will be acquired by Lilly for $70/share)... Select gold related stocks showing strength with higher spot prices: AUY +7.1%, ABX +4.3%, AEM +4.1%, SLV +3.3%, GLD +2.7%, NEM +1.6%, GOLD +1.1%... Other news: ARIA +7.2% (announces favorable ruling permitting immediate appeal of district court findings on NF-(kappa)B patent in Amgen litigation), UIS +6.5% (Steel Partners II LP reports a 5.4% stake in the co in a 13D).
Allapoole avanevad:
In reaction to disappointing earnings/guidance: XIDE -2.8% (light volume), EBAY -1.8% (also reaches agreement to acquire Bill Me Later for ~$820 mln in cash and ~$125 mln worth of outstanding options)... Select financial names showing weakness: NCC -20.8% (Fitch has downgraded NCC and its subsidiary, National City Bank's, long and short-term Issuer Default Ratings), UCBH -18.0%, RBS -16.7%, SOV -13.5%, AIG -12.2% (Moody's downgrades AIG (senior to A3); ratings remain under review), FRE -11.4%, FNM -10.4%, ABK -10.4% (releases selected monthly data for August; cost of 5-yr credit default protection against Ambac Assurance default declined 900 bps from June), BCS -6.3%, C -6.0% (granted emergency injunctive relief extending exclusivity agreement between Citi and Wachovia), BAC -4.8%, UBS -4.5% (ests cut at Oppenheimer), JPM -4.0%, WB -3.4% (granted emergency injunctive relief extending exclusivity agreement between Citi and Wachovia), WFC -2.8%... Select solar stocks trading lower: CSIQ -10.9%, ESLR -9.1%, STP -8.7%, LDK -6.8%, JASO -6.2%, FSLR -5.9%, YGE -4.7%... Select tech-related stocks showing weakness: RIMM -4.2%, AAPL -4.0%, ORCL -2.5%, DELL -2.4%, GOOG -2.3%, SNDK -1.0%... Other news: POT -8.7% (still checking), SI -7.3% (still checking for anything specific), AAUK -6.2% and RTP -4.7% (dropped ~10% in overseas trading)... Analyst comments: MT -9.3% (downgraded to Hold at Deutsche Bank), SPF -7.1% (downgraded to Underweight at JPMorgan), FLEX -6.8% (downgraded to Hold at Collins Stewart), KO -2.8% (downgraded to Hold at Deutsche Bank).
jim, mis Su reedeõhtusest futuuripositsioonist on saanud? ma ise olin siis sama meelt, et ettevaatlikult võiks pikaks minna
Henno, võtsin juurde natuke, keskmine nüüd 1097.
WFC putid ka kinni.
Pisut GS calle ka ostetud.
WFC putid ka kinni.
Pisut GS calle ka ostetud.
GS callid siis $130 strike oktoobrisse, hinnaks $4.55.
Briefing callib TA pealt turu põhja :)
Also note, there is almost a Triple RSI "oversold" signal in place. That means the Monthly, Weekly and Daily RSI readings all slip below the 30-level, suggesting a deeply oversold market from which we can see a sharp rally. Currently the Monthly and Weekly are below 30. This morning's gap down and any further selling pressure should push the Daily reading below 30. The last time I saw a Triple RSI "oversold" signal was during the 2002 low, shown on the charts below.
Also note, there is almost a Triple RSI "oversold" signal in place. That means the Monthly, Weekly and Daily RSI readings all slip below the 30-level, suggesting a deeply oversold market from which we can see a sharp rally. Currently the Monthly and Weekly are below 30. This morning's gap down and any further selling pressure should push the Daily reading below 30. The last time I saw a Triple RSI "oversold" signal was during the 2002 low, shown on the charts below.
Short covering Dendreonis on hoogu võtnud. Aktsia rallinud 80%. Ülisuur närvilisus vahearuande järel ja ei osata nagu midagi ette võtta... Kuid lühikestel vist nüüd närvid ütlevad üles ikkagi...
Kas Teile ei tundu et seekord räägitakse krahhist natuke suurema häälega ja kas see meid mitte hoopis 8000 punkti peale ei vii ja umbes aastatesse 1997 ja 2003 .Seda 10000 põrget on väga raske uskuda.
Nii, mulle tundub, et see kukkumine justkui alles algab. Õieti, 5% päevas ja muudkui alla.......
jah, mis muud kui kulda ostma :)
short natu SPG, risky bet
Must Esmapäev VOL2
Oijah, ES kinni. Sickfuck värk. Siit kuskilt tuleb kiire ja võimas bounce, aga ei jõua seda ära oodata.
Õppetund: ära mängi põrget, kui tegelikult oled negatiivselt meelestatud.
Või siis tegelikult, ära üldse mängi põrget sel turul, see ei tööta.
Või siis tegelikult, ära üldse mängi põrget sel turul, see ei tööta.
Kui jimi kannatusega tüübid positsioone likvideerima hakkavad, siis peab küll põrkekoht käes olema :P
irwwww
Metathinking is good fun!
Metathinking is good fun!