Says US economy expected to soften in second half 2008, so jobless rate could rise above 6%
Midday ETF Strength:
Regional Banks- KRE +3.2%, RKH +0.40%, Retail- XRT +1.2%, Commercial Banks- KBE +0.80%, Base Metals- DBB +0.50%, Financial Srvc- IYG +0.40%, IAI +0.30%
Midday ETF Weakness:
Coal- KOL -7.5%, Solar Power- KWT -5.4%, TAN -5.2%, Gold Miners- GDX -5.0%, Metals/Mining- XME -4.3%, Oil HLDRS- OIH -3.5%, Steel- SLX -3.5%, Semis- SMH -3.3%, IGW -3.5%, Ag/Chem- MOO -3.3%
Pigem arvaks, et GOOG võib üsna head treidi pakkuda lõpetades päeva kõrgematel tasemetel kui hetkel kaupleb.
Tegemist siiski üsna volatiilse aktsiaga ning kogused hoiaks väiksed.
Fed Districts see 'near term' demand for business loans
Fed says mortgage loan demand 'weakening'
Fed beige book says U.S 'economic activity has been slow'
Fed districts see 'moderate' wage pressures as hiring slows
Fed areas report 'slow' consumer spending, manufacturing drop
Turg tegi esimese reageeringuna tugeva jõnksu alla, kuid juba üritatakse taastuda.
Panen siia väljavõtte Beige Bookist:
Summary of Fed's Beige Book: Reports indicate economic activity has been slow in most Districts
Reports from the twelve Federal Reserve Districts indicate that the pace of economic activity has been slow in most Districts. Many described business conditions as "weak," "soft," or "subdued." Cleveland and St. Louis reported some weakening since their last reports while Boston and New York noted signs of stabilization. Kansas City reported a slight improvement. Consumer spending was reported to be slow in most Districts, with purchasing concentrated on necessary items and retrenchment in discretionary spending. Districts reporting on auto sales described them as falling or steady at low levels. Tourism activity was mixed but received support from international visitors in several Districts, and the demand for services eased in most Districts. The transportation industry was also adversely affected by rising fuel costs. Manufacturing activity declined in most Districts but improved somewhat in Minneapolis and Kansas City. Most Districts reported that residential real estate markets remained soft. Commercial real estate activity was slow in most Districts, and some reported further slackening in demand for office and retail space. Most Districts reported easing loan demand, especially for residential mortgages and consumer loans; lending to businesses was mixed. Districts reporting on the agricultural sector noted some relief from drought conditions. Districts reporting on energy and mining activity recorded increased activity. Almost all Districts continued to report price pressures from elevated costs of energy, food, and other commodities, although some noted that there have been declines or slower increases in prices for several industrial commodities and energy products. Business contacts in a number of Districts indicated that they had increased selling prices in response to the high costs for their inputs. Wage pressures were characterized as moderate by most Districts amid a general pullback in hiring, although several Districts noted continued strong demand for workers in the energy sector... Consumer spending was slow in most Districts. Retail sales and other consumer spending was reported as mixed or little changed in Boston, Chicago, St. Louis, and Dallas and weak or declining in Philadelphia, Richmond, Minneapolis, and San Francisco... Labor market conditions were unchanged or somewhat softer in most Districts compared with the last report. Wage increases were typically characterized as moderate.
Regionaalpangad saavad veelgi tuge, KRE +3.26% $3.88 tasemel.
Siit tasuks proovida põrget mängida. Ma usun, et analüütikud homme kaitsevad seda. 55-56 on reaalne siht.
In case kedagi huvitab.
JOYG tundus mulle eelturu 62.5 juures ka hea ost. Peale seda pidin peale avanemist 60 kandist juurde võtma (61.6 kesk), et 62 kandis midagigi teenida. Sealt kukkus 10(!) dollarit.
Üldiselt on turgudel praegu ikka päris jubedad ajad.
Long veel DELL (21 avrg) ja BTU (54 avrg).