Enne kell 13.00 laekuvaid Nokia tulemusi on Euroopas raporteerinud veel mitmed olulised tegijad ... mitmed neist lubavad teha ka oletusi Nokia suhtes ja viimane ongi päeva tippe tegemas ...
Philips (PHI) +4,35% ja Siemens (SIE) +1,41% peale häid tulemusi ...
Siemensi mobiilimüük samas 13,5M tükki varasema 15,2M tüki vastu
Deutsche Telekom (DTE) +1,11% peale 2004. aasta kliendinumbrite oodatust paremat kasvu ... lisaks pannakse kinni shorte strateegia raames, mis ootas nende interneti allüksuse T-Online aktsiate ostupakkumise hinna tõstmist, shorditi Deutsche Telekomi ja mindi pikaks T-Onlines (TOI) ...
AstraZeneca (AZN) +0,20% tulemuste eel, Deutsche Bank on eile kinnitanud oma ostusoovitust ...
Niisiis ootate et niii täna kui homme veel liiguks Nokia aktsia nende tulemuste peale ülespoole? Tegelikult ma küsiks et kas Call optsioonide müümisega ei tasuks eriti kiirustada sest homme võibolla tõuseb veel?
Straddle puhul pilt veidi keerulisem, sest kindel see järgmiste päevade tõus nüüd küll pole. Suurem osa tasuks ikka täna sulgeda.
USAs aktsiahinda vaadates on näha, et aktsia on alates eelmisest nädalast $15 juurest järsult alla tulnud, esimene suurem kukkumine oli QCOMi tulemuste peale, seega olid ootused ka Nokia suhtes pigem kesised.
Muuseas, "USA-keeles" on Nokia numbrid isegi parema väljanägemisega:
06:49 NOK Nokia beats, guides Q1 revs above consensus (14.33 )
Reports Q4 (Dec) earnings of $0.30 per share, $0.07 better than the Reuters Estimates consensus of $0.23; revenues rose 3.1% year/year to $11.83 bln vs the $10.69 bln consensus. Co sees EPS, ex items and coverted from euros, of $0.17-0.21 vs consensus of $0.18; sees Q1 revs, converted, of $9.135-9.53 bln, consensus $8.72 bln.
Ma siin arvutan... NOK veebriari call@15 (NOKBC) maksis eile 0.4. Kuna nyyd on asi rahas 0.4 EURi jagu siis saab hind olema kuskil 0.8 ? Voi see suur liikumine peaks volatiilsuse kaudu veel lisa panema? Et kuhukanti myygiordereid panna.
Ning mis samast@15 put-st saab? Enne maksis euro kanti, nyyd ei oska kohe arvutadagi |:)
The bulls breathed a sigh of relief yesterday as the market produced the best action so far this year. We had good breadth, strong volume, technology leadership and a strong close. There was little to find fault with during the day. So does that mean the worst is over and that we should be aggressive buyers? Does a couple of good days mean that the downtrend that started with the new year is now over?
Not at all. In fact, the market is probably more dangerous right now that it was a few days ago because we are tempted to be less cautious. We are able to knock out some good trades and suddenly all of the worry and concern of the past few weeks is forgotten.
We certainly had much better action but the technical damage from three weeks of poor action is substantial. It will take much more work for it be corrected and it won't happen without some difficulties along the way.
The bulls need to prove that yesterday was not just an anomaly. We must assume for now that it was a one-day wonder caused by oversold conditions and an overabundance of selling pressure. The market became too lopsided and needed to deal with that so the bears didn't become overconfident.
Yesterday's strong action relieved the oversold pressure and shook the bears up a bit but you can bet they are not ready to throw in the towel yet. They will be looking for entry points and unless the bulls can show some persistence, the bears can easily grab control of the market once again.
Ideally the bulls need to put in a follow-through day. Another good day on strong volume would show they are serious. They don't have to do that today but they need to hold the market steady and consolidate gains. If we fail to hold the lows of early this weak, that it going to be a major problem.
For the Nasdaq that level is 2008. That has to hold or the last two days are nothing more than a meaningless oversold bounce within a much bigger downtrend. All of the major indices have similar patterns and market participants will be poised to dump shares if that technical level is breached.
A steady, flat day would be ideal but we all know how Mr. Market feels about doing what we'd like him to do. So stay cautious and don't let recent gains slip away. In this hour of bullish victory the danger is even greater.
Durable good and unemployment claims are slightly better than expected and that has improved the early tone a bit. Overseas markets were slightly negative and oil has rebounded, which is keeping the early indications in check.
I had some technical problems this morning and am running behind. I'll be back with additional comments a little later.
Gappng up on strong earnings/guidance: NETL +16%, DRIV +7.6%, RBAK +7%, NOK +6.8%, PLUM +6.8%, HRS +6.5%, JBLU +4.1%, AZN +4%, STTS +3.5%, AFFX +3.2%, SPRT +3%.... Other News: CALM +14% (highlighted as "naked short" play in WSJ), T +9% (WSJ says it's in talks to merge with SBC; also says BLS may acquire MCIP +4.5%), SNUS +10.4% (granted Orphan Drug designation), GMR +8.2% (initiates cash dividend policy; Morgan Stanley upgrade), ASML +3.8%, ADSX +3.5%, OSTK +2.2% (authorizes buyback program), BRCM +1.6% (Lehman upgrade).... Under $3: ICOR +40% (to study chemical warfare agent detection), VLGC +12% (says its eTAG system shows potential to predict treatment outcomes for colorectal cancer patients), SCLD +5.8% (wins contract).
Gapping Down
Gapping down on disappointing earnings/guidance: SWIR -36% (also Merrill and Piper downgrades; down in sympathy: NVTL -10%), WRLS -15%, CCMP -13%, VRSN -11%, RSAS -10%, AVCI -9.5%, JDSU -9% (also Sanders Morris downgrade), NAVR -9%, PHTN -8.4%, BSTE -7% (also Wachovia downgrade), PLCM -6.8%, GNSS -4.7%, CHIR -3.1%, AMGN -2%, SBUX -1.9%.... Other news: ASTM -7.5% (profit taking after recent momentum), TZOO -6% (registration statement declared effective), OPEN -5.6% (announces $125 mln convertible offering), RMBS -3% (prices convertible notes).