Citigroup on andmas positiivseid kommentaare SanDisk Corpi (SNDK) osas:
Stock Strategy – We are bullish on SNDK’s 12-month upside potential. QTD NAND contract pricing action augments near-term plusses (margin andexpense–related upside potential) and intermediate-term catalysts (pos 2H07est revisions and multiple expansion), bolstering conviction in our call.Reward/risk is 2:1 on 16% upside potential in memory’s best secular story.Tactically, build positions patiently thru the Q on market volatility (for now lessurgency needed than in analog Co’s ADI, ISIL, FCS and SMTC). What’s New – NAND contract pricing was stable in 1H May and overall densitiesare tracking flat QTD with 4Gb+ up 10% (vs 1Q averages). While we expect amodest June swoon (seasonality), prospects are increasing better-than-modeled2Q07 pricing (-5% embedded in our 3Q07 royalty calculation). RecallSamsung/Hynix guided to +20% 2Q pricing). Implication – Positive estimate revision drivers may be forming for SNDK.Largely hinging on Samsung’s pricing and bit production (Hynix royalties justbeginning) SNDK’s royalties are recognized a qtr in arrears. We model $97M,$99M, and $106M in 2Q-4Q07 ($399M in 2007E or $1.05 in EPS). Forsensitivity, every 5% change in quarterly contract pricing impacts annual 2008EEPS by $0.03 (Our ests $1.23 and $2.32 in 2007E/2008E).
Baird initiates GSI Technology (GSIT 5.49) with an Outperform and sets an $8 tgt, based on its position as the only pure play in the consolidating supplier SRAM market, an attractive business model and the gaining of share at key customers while ramp of its next-gen product line should act as a strong catalyst to the top line starting 2H07...
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