Börsipäev 11. september

LEH short @ $4.20. Ma ei näe põhjust, miks keegi peaks maksma üle $1 dollari (mitte per share, aga kokku) selle eest, et LEH enda kaela võtta.
Kui vaadata viimasel ajal teistest sama sektori ettevõtetest tunduvalt paremini esinenud BAC-i, siis võib LEH-i ülevõtt olla üsnagi tõenäoline. Kas BAC ei hammusta sellega liiga suurt suutäit? CFC ülevõttu ei peeta just parimaks lahenduseks, mida saab küll täielikult hinnata mõne aasta möödudes.
PS Kui BAC ostja on, siis nüüdseks nad on kindlasti juba õppinud. Countrywide'le tegid nad undertake, aga ikkagi üsnagi turuhinna lähedalt. Seejärel nägid, kuidas BSC sisuliselt tasuta kätte saadi.. Yeah right nad kaks korda üle maksavad, eriti praeguses situatsioonis.
Kas sinus räägib lühike positsioon? Kuid tõetera jutul sees.

Pikem tekst spekulatiivsetest kandidaatidest siin:

(LEH) Lehman Brothers: Additional detail on earlier headline of BAC in talks to buy LEH

WSJ reports the co is actively shopping itself to potential suitors, including Bank of America (BAC), people familiar with the matter said. The need for a sale intensified as Lehman's shares dropped 45% in Thursday trading, creating new doubts about its ability to trade with other Wall Street cos while keeping its best talent. But potential buyers remain wary about plugging holes in Lehman's balance sheet, and are increasingly looking to the U.S. government to help backstop future losses, according to people familiar with the talks. A number of these buyers would "come out of the woodwork," if the U.S. were to step in, said one person monitoring the process. It remains unclear whether the U.S. Treasury or Federal Reserve would take such steps, as was done when the government assisted J.P. Morgan Chase in its Bear Stearns takeover in March. Bank of America, which is holding preliminary discussions about a transaction, appeared to be Lehman's best hope on Thursday afternoon. BofA may only do a Lehman deal if it is encouraged by the federal government, since it has its hands full digesting mortgage lender Countrywide Financial. Still, the situation was so fluid Thursday that people involved in the deal talks said it was too soon to say what shape a sale would take or if it would happen at all. Without explicit government support, a range of other suitors have proven uninterested in absorbing Lehman and its $600 billion balance sheet. Goldman Sachs (GS), for example, is not bidding on the company, said a person familiar with the matter. Other much-discussed buyers, including France's BNP Paribas, the UK's HSBC (HBC), Germany's Deutsche Bank (DB), Spain's Banco Santander (BBD), are not expected to participate. One outside potential remains Barclays (BCS), the UK's third largest bank which has been eager to expand its investment-banking franchise around the globe.

Täitsa õige jutt jim-i poolt aga usun hoopis varianti, et koostöös FED-iga ostab BAC Lehmani 4 - 5 taalaga
Aga üldiselt, kas overtake või undertake, peaasi, et midagi toimub. Kui diil ära tehakse, siis see on turu jaoks positiivne, vähemalt lühiajaliselt.
Yes, exclaims Jeff Macke on CNBC’s Closing Bell. By ignoring the large scale fundamental anaylsis and recognizing the chart for oil is... broken

To trade fundamentals Macke thinks you need an information edge; that is, a take that other people don’t have. And he doesn't think that exists in oil.

“What we saw in oil… as well as the commodities and ag names was a bubble that inflated and finally burst. You can’t make a fundamental argument that $140 was any more rational that $100 on crude. Therefore you’ve got to trade the charts.”

Macke might be the Lone Wolf but he’s hardly alone in his outlook. "This is a market that wants not only to test $100 a barrel but ultimately break $100," echoes Tom Knight, trader at Truman Arnold in Texarkana, Texas
U.S. Government to Arrange Sale of Lehman Brothers

By David Cho and Heather Landy
Washington Post Staff Writers
Thursday, September 11, 2008; 5:16 PM

The Treasury Department and the Federal Reserve are engineering a sale of Lehman Brothers through a consortium of private firms. The details are not finalized, but sources familiar with the matter say the purchase is expected to be completed and announced this weekend before Asian markets open on Monday morning.
Private equity ostab LEH? Yeah right. Kuidas nad seda finantseerida mõtleksid? :)
7 aastat tagasi oli WTC.
11 aastat tagasi Kurkse.
11 päeva tagasi läksid lapsed kooli.

Kokkusattumus?
Mida tarvitad Alvar ? Igatahes vägev värk, pole kahtlustki
Kohvi ja vahel ka Coca-Colat. Kas nende tarbimine on keelatud?
to: Alvar

Esimese kahe kohta ei oska öelda, aga see, et lapsed 11 päeva tagasi kooli läksid, on selgelt illuminaatide vandenõu.