Eilne päev oli aktsiaturgude jaoks vägagi negatiivne. Euroopa börsid sulgusid keskmiselt 3% miinuspoolel ja USA indeksid keskmiselt 2,2% punases. S&P500 on pärast eilset sulgumist taas aastapõhiselt miinuses, kuid DJIA ja Nasdaq on veel vastavalt 3,26% ja 1,19% plusspoolel. Ka Aasia turud on tänast kauplemispäeva lõpetamas punases: Nikkei on hetkel avanemistaseme suhtes 1,7% ja Hongkongi börs 1,86% madalamal.
Eilsetest uudistest omas enim kaalu MF Globali saaga, kellele sai saatuslikuks Eurooap võlakriisis. NYT kirjutas eile, et firmast on viimastel päevadel läinud kaduma sadu miljardeid dollareid ja selle uurimiseks on algatatud juurdlus.
What began as nearly $1 billion missing had dropped to less than $700 million by late Monday. It is unclear where the money went, and some money is expected to trickle in over the coming days as the firm sorts through the bankruptcy process, the people said.
But regulators are examining whether MF Global diverted some customer money to support its own trades as the firm teetered on the brink of collapse. If that was the case, it could violate a fundamental tenet of Wall Street regulation: Customers’ money must be kept separate from company money.
Aasia sessioonil oli fookuses Austraalia keskpank, kes langetas tänasel kohtumisel intressimäärasid 25 baaspunkti võrra 4,5% peale. Tänane otsus oli ühtlasi ka ootuspärane. Austraalia dollar täna jätkuva surve all ja kaupleb USD vastu juba üle 1% miinuspoolel $1,0410 juures. Austraalia dollarile ja riskisentimendile üldisemalt on negatiivset mõju avaldamas ka täna ilmunud Hiina PMI tootmisindeks, mis langes eelmise kuu 51,2 pealt 50,4 punkti peale oktoobris.
Tänastest makronäitajatest on avaldamisel veel Suurbritannia majahindade andmed, Šveitsi septembrikuu jaemüügi tulemused ja SVME PMI indeks, Saksamaa, eurotsooni ja Suurbritannia PMI tootmisindeksid, Suurbritannia III kvartali SKT tulemused ja USA sessioonil ehituskulutuste andmed ning ISM tootmisindeks.
Euroopa ja USA indeksite futuurid kauplevad hetkel 0,6-1,45% miinuspoolel. Euro on samuti jätkamas eile alanud langust, kaubeldes dollari vastu 0,5% madalamal $1,3790 juures.
Täna survestab turge ka Kreeka peaministri George Papandreou plaan panna Euroopa Liidu poolt antav päästepakett ja sellega kaasnevad eelarvekärped referendumile. Stoxx Europe 600 indeks on kauplemas ca 2,6% miinuses ning antud indeksis olev pangandussektori aktsiate indeks on 4,6% madalamal. Itaalia 10-aastase võlakirja tulusus on selle peale tõusmas, olles 6,2% juures.
Parandus: Saksamaa ja eurotsooni PMI tootmisindeksid avaldatakse homme.
Täna avaldati aga Suurbritannia PMI tootmisindeks, mis langes eelmise kuu 51,1 pealt 47,4 punktini oktoobris (oodati 50,0). Seevastu üllatas positiivselt III kvartali SKT tulemused, mis näitasid eelmise kvartali võrraldes 0,5% kasvu vs oodatud 0,3% ja aastases lõikes samuti 0,5% kasvu vs oodatud 0,4%. GBPUSD kaupleb 0,9% miinuspoolel $1,5935 juures.
Gapping up In reaction to strong earnings/guidance: RDN +17.0% (ticking higher), LEAP +11.5%, WINN +8.4% (light volume), CXDC +7.1% (thinly traded, to restate financial results to reflect certain non-cash adjustments to EPS and classification adjustments for certain cash flow items; issues Q3 guidance), BPI +4.1% (light volume), UAN +4% (light volume), NBIX +3.8%, ALL +2.9%, ALLT +2.8% (light volume).
Other news: BBX +68.8% (BB&T Corp to acquire BankAtlantic), VRUS +7.4% (announced the initiation of a Phase 3 program with the hepatitis C virus nucleotide analog, PSI-7977).
Analyst comments: CAE +1.7% (ticking higher, initiated with an Outperform at Scotia).
Gapping down: Seeing weakness across the board with futures sharply lower In reaction to disappointing earnings/guidance: AMED -16.2%, BGC -15.2%, RBA -12.2%, NXPI -11%, GEOY -10.6% (light volume), NVMI -10.3%, CS -9.6%, ROG -7.3%, ASIA -6.8% (light volume), PCS -5.9%, BHI -5.4%, HLF -5.3%, AVB -5%, TRP -4.7% (light volume), DNKN -3% (also announces secondary offering of 22 mln shares of common stock), APC -2.9%, PFE -0.6%, ADM -0.6% (light volume).
Select financial related names showing weakness: ING -13.5%, NBG -10.7%, BCS -10%, DB -9.4%, RBS -7.6%, LYG -6.3%, C -5.8%, UBS -5.5%, BAC -5.3%, MS -4.9%, HBC -3.9%, GS -3.7%.
Select oil/gas related names showing early weakness: WFT -5%, BP -4.5%, STO -4.3%, RDS.A -4.1%, TOT -3.9%, SLB -3.8%, E -3.7% (Eni SpA downgraded to Hold from Buy at Collins Stewart).
Other news: EXEL -35.3% (to initiate cabozantinib '306 trial with poain endpoint in Mcrpc; did not reach a timely agreement under a special protocol assessment; also downgraded to Neutral from Overweight at Piper Jaffray), SIFY -6.5% (pulling back following yesterday's +2 point move higher), MPEL -3.7% (Macau Gaming Inspection and Coordination Bureau reports October gross gaming rev +42% YoY to a new all time record), MET -3.3% (names Steven Kandarian Chairman of the Board of Directors), BA -2.3% (Boeing CFO James Bell Announces April 2012 Retirement), KND -2.1% (as previously announced XLS replaced KND in S&P MidCap 400 index and KND replaced SMSI in the S&P SmallCap 600 after the close yesterday), TGT -1.7% (CFO Scovanner to Retire in 2012), REDF -1.1% (pulling back following yesterday's +3 point move higher).
Analyst comments: ALU -8% (downgraded to Neutral from Overweight at JPMorgan), PANL -3.9% (initiated with an Underweight at Piper Jaffray), AVP -3.7% (downgraded to Hold from Buy at Jefferies), TEF -3.6% (downgraded to Hold from Buy at Deutsche Bank), CHH -0.9% (downgraded to Neutral from Buy at Nomura).
a) In the event that extremely high market volatility is likely to have a Floor-wide impact on the ability of [Designated Market Makers] to arrange for the fair and orderly opening, reopening following a market-wide halt of trading at the Exchange, or closing of trading at the Exchange and that absent relief, the operation of the Exchange is likely to be impaired, a qualified Exchange officer may declare an extreme market volatility condition with respect to trading on or through the facilities of the Exchange.
(b) In the event that an extreme market volatility condition is declared with respect to trading on or through the facilities of the Exchange, a qualified Exchange officer shall be empowered to temporarily suspend at the opening of trading or reopening of trading following a market-wide trading halt: (i) the need for prior Floor Official or prior NYSE Floor operations approval to open or reopen a security at the Exchange (Rules 123D(1) and 79A.30); and/or (ii) applicable requirements to make pre-opening indications in a security (Rules 15 and 123D(1)).
Kreeka võiks minu arvates praegu turgudel mängides meeletut pappi kokku ajada ning seeläbi ka pankrotist pääseda - lihtsalt tuleks iga nädal välja tulla mingi jubeda uudisega, turud seepeale vabalanguses ja Kreekale raha tuleks (kuna nad ju teavad ette, mis pidi positsioonides olla) :-). Ja polegi tähtis, kas oled pikk või lühike - teenid vastavalt kas languse pealt või siis tõusu pealt, kui eelneva teate ümber lükkad.
Six deputies of the ruling socialist Pasok party of Prime Minister Papandreou will not vote to accept this Friday a referendum in January on yes-no vote to the agreed austerity plan with Europe
Six members of the party called on the PM to resign in a joint letter
Papandreou would only control 151 seats in the 300 seat parliament
It is expected without these votes the government of Papandreous will be forced to call early elections before the new. The government will be forced to call early elections and a high probability that Papandreous will not win and that a new coalition government will be formed. This may be in the next 30 days possibly
This will reduce the fear of a rejection by the Greek population of the agreed austerity program, Greece exiting the Euro and a disorderly default in 2012 and its consequences on Europe
