Probleem oli, et pea kõik euroopas ja ukrainlased uskusid, et see on putleri bluff, jälle.
See guardiani lugu on siin loetav.
European services refused to believe a full-scale war in Europe was possible in the 21st century. They remembered the dubious intelligence case presented to justify the invasion of Iraq and were wary of trusting the Americans on what seemed like a fantastical prediction.
“I felt the evidence we presented to them was overwhelming. It’s not like we held back something that, if only they had seen it, would have made all the difference,” said Jake Sullivan, Biden’s national security adviser, on why European allies did not believe the Americans. “They were just seized with the conviction that this simply made no sense.”
There was no solid evidence that Putin had taken a political decision to put his plan into action. And this was where everyone else had a problem. In Paris and Berlin, just as in Kyiv, intelligence agencies interpreted the military buildup not as a war plan, but as a bluff to put pressure on Ukraine.
UK intelligence official said “huge amounts of effort” were invested to bring the French and Germans around, including several briefing trips by various delegations. But the conversations were largely met with resistance. “I think they took as a starting point: ‘Why would he?’