Börsipäev 9. detsember

veidi makrot ka tänasesse päeva.....kell 16.55 avalikustatakse veel Michigani tarbijakindlustunde detsembri indeks.

October Trade Balance -$43.5 bln vs -$44.0 bln Briefing.com consensus

winger
@BBCNormanS Chris Davies Lib Dem MEP -"David Cameron has today relegated Britain to the second division of Europe"
Cameron saab omade käest täiega - meedia, poliitikud. Mõned ka toetavad, kuid väga vähesed.


See oligi üks arusaamatu soolo. Inimesena võin ju aru saada - suur ja võimas "good old England" on jäänud Euroopas marginaalseks tegelaseks ja kõrvaltvaatajaks ning eks Cameron tahtis ka kõva häält teha ja "mees" olla. Tulemus tuli aga välja nii nagu tuli...
nii palju siis Hiina uudisest....
UK-s lihtsalt on võimu Brüsselisse andmise barjäär palju kõrgem, kes neid enam valib kui nad veel EL-le järeleandmisi teevad? Vasakpoolsed, tsentristid ja BBC kiunuvad, aga toorid vbl tagasid endale pika võimulpüsimise...
Deputy Prime Minister Nick Clegg - whose Liberal Democrat party is much more pro-European than their coalition colleagues - said he "regretted" that a deal involving all 27 members could not be reached.
But he added: "The demands Britain made for safeguards, on which the coalition government was united, were modest and reasonable. They were safeguards for the single market, not just the UK.
"There were no demands of repatriation of powers from the EU to Britain and no demands for a unilateral carve-out of UK financial services."
opex
UK-s lihtsalt on võimu Brüsselisse andmise barjäär palju kõrgem, kes neid enam valib kui nad veel EL-le järeleandmisi teevad? Vasakpoolsed, tsentristid ja BBC kiunuvad, aga toorid vbl tagasid endale pika võimulpüsimise...
Deputy Prime Minister Nick Clegg - whose Liberal Democrat party is much more pro-European than their coalition colleagues - said he "regretted" that a deal involving all 27 members could not be reached.
But he added: "The demands Britain made for safeguards, on which the coalition government was united, were modest and reasonable. They were safeguards for the single market, not just the UK.
"There were no demands of repatriation of powers from the EU to Britain and no demands for a unilateral carve-out of UK financial services."


Võimalik, et eesmärgid olidiki üllad, kuid välja mängiti need kehvasti - jalgu trampides saavutatakse harva midagi.
Europe Is Saved! Again!
By James "Rev Shark" DePorre
Dec 09, 2011 | 8:55 AM EST

"All this reminds one of the autumn of 2008." --Deutsche Bank CEO Josef Ackerman

After the weak action and ugly close Thursday, we probably shouldn't be surprised that we have another "Europe is saved!" bounce this morning. The pattern of this market has been that after a bout of worry that Europe is going to fall apart, we have some sort of announcement that a fix is being developed. The cure is never implemented and a host of new problems arise, but the doubt and skepticism about solutions set the stage for another spike on the next announced solution.

This pattern has played out dozens of times lately and the reason is that very few folks have confidence that the problems in Europe are going to be cleaned up soon. Many believe it is just a matter of time before the European Union falls apart.

For now, the long-range health of Europe isn't our major concern. All we need to know is that pattern of quick spikes on announced news is alive and well. The problem is that these spikes don't typically last long and we have to see how fast this one fades, but you can be sure another solution will be forthcoming as soon as things start to look dangerous again.

As far as "Europe is saved" rallies, the action this morning isn't very impressive. We are well off the early highs and the skeptics are already tearing into the latest "solution."

I've been anticipating a "sell the news" reaction to European news, but that occurred quite aggressively yesterday when we had some bad news rather than good news from the European Central Bank. We are seeing more "sell the news" this morning, but now that the main European news is out, I'm looking for the market to shift away from the intense focus on the headlines. If we can ignore Europe for a little while, it is a great time for individual stock-picking action. Market players need end-of-year relative performance, and if they start chasing some beta in individual stocks rather than playing leveraged index exchange-traded funds it would make for a very nice change of pace.

I continue to feel that market players are not particularly well positioned for upside and that is going to help the bullish cause. The recent rally was not embraced with the usual bullish euphoria you'd expect to see when we have a move of that magnitude, and the moaning and complaining about the poor technical action has been quite loud. The hot money momentum players have had very little to do and they are hungry to go to work.

We'll see how well we hold this early gap, but more "sell the news" action wouldn't surprise me. The good news is that the technical pattern for some end-of-year strength continues to develop. It's just a matter of putting cash to work
@AGM
Jah, ainuke asi mida ta oleks saanud öelda seal oleks olnud "mina ei saa midagi otsustada, peame korraldama rahvahääletuse sellises küsimuses". Selle rahvahääletuse vastus oleks tõenäoliselt "ei" ja lõpptulemus sama.
NC on üles leidnud ühe väiksema analüüsimaja müü reitingu SHLD-le, asja teeb huvitavaks target ->$6.
http://notablecalls.blogspot.com/2011/12/sears-holdings-nyseshld-worth-6.html
Ameeriklased on valmis kulutama:

http://www.reuters.com/article/2011/12/09/us-usa-economy-idUSTRE7AL14I20111209
Tarbijad on oma usalduse tagasi saanud, sest Michigani Ülikooli poolt mõõdetav tarbijaindeks on alates juunist oma kõrgemail tasemel.
The preliminary Reuters/University of Michigan consumer sentiment index for December stood at 67.7 from 64.1 in November. It was expected by analysts to come in at 66.0, and it will be revised at the end of the month.
Morgan Stanley on Business Insideris avaldanud oma ootused toorainete osas 2012. aastal ja siin mõned väljavõtted:

Oil supplies are expected to recover in 2012 with production from the North Sea and West Africa having stabilized and production picking up in Libya. However, demand is slowing, and prices are expected to fall in the first half of 2012. In their bear case, Morgan Stanley analysts expect prices to fall to $75.00 / barrel, and rise to $115.00 / barrel in their bull case.

Gold is expected to be in high demand as investors seek safe havens. Prices should also be supported in the expected low or negative real interest rate environment.

The decline in retail sales across developed markets has seen demand for cotton go down. Chinese purchases are expected slow significantly in March and U.S. export demand is declining. Furthermore, the absence of a solution to Europe's debt crisis will also put pressure on prices.
Universal Display spikes roughly $0.70, hearing strength attributed to positive comments at tier 1 firm
Focus Media: Hearing Muddy Waters out cautious on FMCN
American Axle: Hearing renewed takeover chatter
Green Mtn Coffee: Hearing William Blair out positive on GMCR
Moody's has placed the long-term ratings of The Bank of New York Mellon, senior debt at Aa2 and its subsidiaries, including its lead bank, The Bank of New York Mellon (BFSR at B+, Deposits at Aaa) on review for downgrade
Kui viimasel ajal on reedene action kandud üldiselt ühisnimetajat "risk off" ning üle nädalavahetuse pole julgetud positsioone lahti jätta, siis täna on turg küll siiani vastupidise tonaalsusega olnud.
AlariÜ
NC on üles leidnud ühe väiksema analüüsimaja müü reitingu SHLD-le, asja teeb huvitavaks target ->$6.
http://notablecalls.blogspot.com/2011/12/sears-holdings-nyseshld-worth-6.html


Reiting ise ka: http://www.2shared.com/document/SLtlJBR4/shld.html
Täna siin foorumis õhtul kõik kahtlaselt vaikne. Kas kõigil käed-jalad tööd täis, et oma shortidest välja saada :-)