Börsipäev 28. juuni

Gapping down
In reaction to disappointing earnings/guidance: FDO -7.6%, CW -7%, HTCH -3.5%, (thinly traded), MSM -2% (light volume), MLHR -0.6%, (light volume, also raises quarterly dividend).

Financial related names showing weakness: RBS -12.3%, BCS -12% (Barclays PLC to settle with US and UK regulators over allegations of Libor manipulation and pay $453 mln, according to reports), LYG -8.2%, DB -4.9%, ING -3.6%, JPM -3.3% (NYTimes reporting that JPMorgan Chase 'London Whale' trading loss could reach as much as $9 bln), NBG -3.2%, HBC -2.6%, MS -1.9%, C -1.8%, CS -1.7%, BAC -1.7%, SAN -1.3%, .

Select metals/mining stocks trading lower: RIO -2.5%, MT -2%, GLD -0.4%, SLV -0.2%.

Select oil/gas related names showing modest weakness: WFT -1.6%, STO -1.4%, TOT -1.4%, RDS.A -0.7%, BP -0.5%.

Other news: ANTH -52.7% (updates Phase 3 plans following results from the Phase 2b PEARL-SC dose ranging study of Blisibimod), PEIX -30.2% (signs agreements to increase ownership in plants to 67% and improve terms of plant debt, announces proposed offering of common stock and warrants), SNTA -26.2% (announces results from interim analysis of Phase 2b/3 GALAXY trial: Improvements in PFS, response rate, and survival events observed in all adenocarcinoma patients), HUSA -4.7% (announces operational update on Cachirre #1 Well), ETP -4.2% (commenced a public offering of 13,500,000 common units representing limited partner interests), SPLK -3.6% (files registration statement for proposed follow-on offering), STX -2.2% and WDC -1.6% (weakness following HTCH guidance/comments), DG -2.1% and DLTR -1.8% (trading lower following FDO results), BV -0.9% (files registration statement for proposed follow-on offering), ACI -0.8% (Moody's downgrades Arch Coal's CFR to B2 from B1; outlook stable).

Analyst comments: EBAY -3.8% (Hearing early weakness being attributed to cautious comments on sales expectations from ITG), MTL -2.9% (Mechel Steel downgraded to Neutral from Buy at Goldman), CX -1.1% (initiated with Underperform at Imperial Capital), CBE -0.6% (downgraded to Market Perform from Outperform at Wells Fargo).
Continuing Claims falls to 3. 296mln from 3.311mln
Q1 GDP- Third Estimate +1.9% vs +1.9% Briefing.com consensus; Second Estimate +1.9%
Q1 GDP Deflator- Third Estimate +2% vs +1.7% Briefing.com consensus; Second estimate +1.7%
Initial Claims 386K vs 385K Briefing.com consensus; Prior revised to 392K from 387K
Eile avaldati taaskord USA naftavarude raport, mis kahanesid 133 000 barreli võrra. Tegu on olulisemalt väiksema langusega kui oodatud 1,3 miljonit barrelit ning allolevalt jooniselt on näha, et autosõiduhooaeg pole varudele veel olulist mõju avaldanud nagu ajalooliselt kombeks. Samas on bensiinivarud viimase viie aasta põhjade lähedal.
Einhorni nimi on hirmutamas järjekordse ettevõtte investoreid:
LULU lululemon athletica: Weakness being attributed to rumor that Einhorn is short

Teatavasti kukkus mais samasuguse kuulujutu peale HLF üle 20%.
LULU hetkel kauplemas 6,7% madalamal.

JPMorgan Chase: CNBC reporting that JPM more confident that they can contain losses to $4-6 bln; says they are 'more or less 70% out of the trade'

JPMorgan Chase: CNBC reporting the pain of the 'London Whale' trade is 'largely over'


JPM on selle peale ka natuke taastunud, kuid kaupleb ikka üle 4% miinuspoolel.
UBS LULU kaitsmas:

lululemon athletica: Hearing UBS defending shares; sell off attributed to rumor of Einhorn entering a short in the position

Turg peaks rutem kinni minema, muidu kukub VRTX päris nulli välja. :)
Merkel on väidetavalt tänaõhtuse pressikonverentsi ära tühistanud ja tundub, et selle teate peale ka turg ülespoole liikus... ilmselt loodetakse siis, et millegi kallal töö nüüd tõsiselt käib ja ei taheta detaile avalikustada enne seda, kui plaan lõplikult koos. Aga need on nüüd küll puhtalt spekulatsioonid ja ausalt öeldes isegi veidi üllatav selline tugev ülespoole reaktsioon.
WLT reaffirms FY12 production guidance; sees Q2 met coal sales volume of 2.8 MMT up from 2.4 in Q1

WLT kinnitab oma 2012. aasta prognoosi, mis peaks aktsiale positiivset mõju avaldama, seda enam, et kivisöe sektor on olnud väga tugeva müügisurve all.
Miks see positiivne on?
Smith & Wesson sees Q1 $0.16-0.19 vs $0.12 Capital IQ Consensus Estimate; sees revs $125-130 mln vs $112.55 mln Capital IQ Consensus Estimate
Smith & Wesson sees FY13 $0.60-0.65 vs $0.50 Capital IQ Consensus Estimate; sees revs $485-505 mln vs $465.98 mln Capital IQ Consensus Estimate

SWHC on väga tugevate tulemuste ja prognoosiga väljas- aktsia hetkel 12% kõrgemal kauplemas (+ $ 7,88)


Read more: http://www.briefing.com/InPlayEq/InPlay/InPlayDual.htm#ixzz1z7XSqnr9
to ymeramees: Sest ma arvan, et kardeti/oodati uut kasumihoiatust
Nike prelim $1.17 vs $1.37 Capital IQ Consensus Estimate; revs $6.5 bln vs $6.51 bln Capital IQ Consensus Estimate
NKE-l just väga häid uudiseid investoritele pole. Aktsia kauplemas 11% miinuspoolel, $ 87 taseme kandis.



Production guidance, kasum võib sellest hoolimata pekkis olla :)
Research In Motion prelim ($0.37) vs ($0.08) Capital IQ Consensus Estimate; revs $2.81 bln vs $3.04 bln Capital IQ Consensus Estimate

Research In Motion BlackBerry 10 smartphone launch now scheduled for Q1 of calendar 2013

RIMM-lt kole kahjum, mis ei tohiks küll erilise üllatusena tulla.

The Company expects the next several quarters to continue to be very challenging for its business based on the increasing competitive environment, lower handset volumes, potential financial and other impacts from the delay of BlackBerry 10, pressure to reduce RIM's monthly infrastructure access fees, and the Company's plans to continue to aggressively drive sales of BlackBerry 7 handheld devices
ymeramees
Production guidance, kasum võib sellest hoolimata pekkis olla :)


Võib. Sellegipoolest arvan ma, et seda võetakse positiivse märgina :)
However, revenues and income will be adversely affected by lower second quarter pricing across the industry and we anticipate approximately flat sequential quarterly costs per ton."

Production guido on inline eelnevaga. Nonevento.
ymeramees
However, revenues and income will be adversely affected by lower second quarter pricing across the industry and we anticipate approximately flat sequential quarterly costs per ton."

Production guido on inline eelnevaga. Nonevento.


Olukorra olulisele paranemisele sektoris see paraku tõesti ei viita.
pigem on sektoris küsimus, kes pankrotti läheb...
Ford tiksumas allapoole artikli peale, kus öeldakse, et nõrk Euroopa on firma majandustulemustele veskikiviks kaelas:

The Ford Motor Company’s chief financial officer said Thursday that the automaker’s international losses would triple in the second quarter, primarily because of much weaker European sales. The executive, Robert Shanks, also disclosed that Ford would consider closing an assembly plant in Europe should demand keep falling.

Ford Says Overseas Losses Will Triple in 2nd Quarter