Fed's Bullard says possible Fed won't hike rates until 2012 - DJ
:D
Japan vol 2?
Palun SPX toetus ja vastupnu tasemeid.Attächh ette!!
Bob Byrne RealMoney all on sellega aktiivselt tegelenud heinos. Loodan, et sellest on abi:
This market continues to trade in a way that makes knitting seem exciting. For today---consider taking an extended coffee break until we clear 1110 or 1105 (which may happen soon enough considering the CPI and Housing data to be released at 8:30 AM).
The bulls remain in in control of the market and have little to worry about as long we hold above 1101.25. Look for traders to defend moderate support at 1105 and 1106.50 and target moderate/strong resistance at 1110. A sustained trade above 1110 allows bullish momentum to build with targets being strong resistance at 1114 and moderate resistance at 1118.
If you are bearish...consider sitting on your hands until we push through 1106.50 and 1105. A sustained trade under 1105 sends us back to strong support at 1101.25, but the bears have failed to push through this area on several occasions. Traders are likely to ignore the short side until they see 1101.25 get taken out. If the bulls lose 1101.25 expect a quick drop to 1098.
1118 = 112.35 M
1114 = 111.90 S
1110 = 111.50 M/S
1106.50 = 111.15 M
1105 = 111 M
1101.25 = 110.65 S
1098 = 110.30 M
This market continues to trade in a way that makes knitting seem exciting. For today---consider taking an extended coffee break until we clear 1110 or 1105 (which may happen soon enough considering the CPI and Housing data to be released at 8:30 AM).
The bulls remain in in control of the market and have little to worry about as long we hold above 1101.25. Look for traders to defend moderate support at 1105 and 1106.50 and target moderate/strong resistance at 1110. A sustained trade above 1110 allows bullish momentum to build with targets being strong resistance at 1114 and moderate resistance at 1118.
If you are bearish...consider sitting on your hands until we push through 1106.50 and 1105. A sustained trade under 1105 sends us back to strong support at 1101.25, but the bears have failed to push through this area on several occasions. Traders are likely to ignore the short side until they see 1101.25 get taken out. If the bulls lose 1101.25 expect a quick drop to 1098.
1118 = 112.35 M
1114 = 111.90 S
1110 = 111.50 M/S
1106.50 = 111.15 M
1105 = 111 M
1101.25 = 110.65 S
1098 = 110.30 M
Euroopa turud:
Saksamaa DAX +0.74%
Prantsusmaa CAC 40 +0.33%
Inglismaa FTSE 100 +0.16%
Hispaania IBEX 35 +0.88%
Rootsi OMX 30 +0.60%
Venemaa MICEX +0.84%
Poola WIG -1.19%
Aasia turud:
Jaapani Nikkei 225 -0.55%
Hong Kongi Hang Seng -0.32%
Hiina Shanghai A (kodumaine) +0.61%
Hiina Shanghai B (välismaine) +1.64%
Lõuna-Korea Kosdaq +0.13%
Tai Set 50 -0.01%
India Sensex 30 -0.30%
Tänasest Sharki kommentaarist meeldib mulle viimane lause.
Hate Is Driving This Market
By Rev Shark
RealMoney.com Contributor
11/18/2009 8:42 AM EST
It requires a very unusual mind to undertake the analysis of the obvious.
-- Alfred North Whitehead
Since the low in March, the most notable characteristic of this market is how often we have had long streaks of positive days with hardly any dips at all. We have seen a number of runs where we've been up eight out of 10 days, and where the down days are just a few points.
The irony of this action is that it favors a buy-and-hold approach, which was widely discredited when the market melted down last year and early this year. Active traders, who navigated through the landmines of one of the ugliest markets ever, are now constantly frustrated by a market that does not provide many easy or convenient entry points. We go from a near breakdown to overbought and stay that way. The dips are so shallow as to be almost nonexistent; to complicate things further, volume tends to decline on each one of these runs.
I'm a bit tired of writing about these unusual inclinations, but it is a reflection of one of the most hated market rallies I have ever seen. Despite these tremendous runs we have experienced half a dozen times, many market players just can't bring themselves to fully embrace this market. We have the usual assortment of permabulls who are always optimistic, but the hot-money players, momentum chasers and shorter-term traders never seem to fully embrace this market as they did during other rallies like in 2000.
This reluctance to really embrace the strength is probably what keeps it going. Folks just keep inching in slowly as they become increasingly frustrated when we don't have any pullbacks. The higher we go, the more shrill the talk about how we will go up endlessly, and the more aggressive the dip-buyers are in buying even when the market is just flat.
I've previously discussed the many reasons the mood has been different this time. The most obvious is that people just can't seem to reconcile their personal views of the economy with the strength in the stock market. Another reason is that the bi driving force has been liquidity and weakness in the dollar rather than a focus on improving fundamentals.
While the market has certainly had exceptional performance for quite a long time, it has not been easy to understand or navigate. That is the nature of the market at times, and the best thing we can do is to try to understand the character of the action so we can navigate it better.
I'm the first to admit that I've not had an easy time with this market. I've been consistently underinvested and continue to be surprised every time we have another one of these streaks where we go straight up on declining volume. While I have not made the mistake of trying to short in anticipation of weakness, I have seldom been as heavily long as I would have liked.
If the pattern of prior months holds, this market should stall out around option expiry and then turn down at the end of the month. This month we have the Thanksgiving holiday, which typically is some of the most positive seasonality of the year, so an end-of-the-month dip is going to be a bit trickier to anticipate.
The bulls are feeling good and in control of this market. The bears' best hope is that the complacency is so great that they can catch some folks by surprise.
-----------------------------
Ülespoole avanevad:
In reaction to strong earnings/guidance: CHS +11.3%, BWS +10.1%, CSUN +8.7%, LZB +2.6%, NM +2.5%... Select oil/gas related names showing early strength: REP +1.6%, PBR +1.3%, APA +1.2% (approves Apache's Gas Plus project - Oil & Gas Journal), TOT +1.2%... Select chemical/ag related names showing continued strength: SYT +1.7%, MOS +1.5%, POT +1.3% and MON +1.0% (Cramer makes positive comments on MadMoney)... Select shipping names ticking higher: FRO +4.3%, EXM +3.5%, DSX +3.4%, NAT +3.2% (Cramer makes positive comments on MadMoney), GNK +2.9%... Select solar names trading higher: LDK +13.3% (sells 15% ownership stake in its 15,000 MT polysilicon plant), SOLF +4.8%, JASO +2.2%, FSLR +2.0%, SPWRA +1.6%... Other news: VVUS +16.7% (announces positive results from Ph. 3 study of avanafil in ED), NOK +2.3% (still checking), VE +1.4% (still checking), SII +1.3% (prices 28.0 mln common share offering at $26.50/share and upgraded to Buy at Citigroup)... Analyst comments: XOMA +9.7% (initiated with Buy at Canaccord), CAKE +6.9% (added to Americas Conviction Buy list at Goldman- Reuters), PHM +4.2% (upgraded to Buy at Citigroup), ADI +2.0% (Hearing added to Buy list at tier 1 firm).
Allapoole avanevad:
In reaction to disappointing earnings/guidance: CNQR -7.4%, ADSK -7.3%, CRM -4.0%, BJ -2.3%... Select European financials showing weakness: AIB -2.7% (sees 2009 bad debt charge up EUR1 bln on NAMA - DJ; also announces Dan O'Connor is to take on the role of Executive Chairman), IRE -1.9%, HBC -1.8% (HSBC Holdings confirms sale, leaseback talks for two Paris sites - DJ; also trading ex dividend), RBS -1.6%... Other news: DISH -7.4% (trading ex dividend), SVA -6.6% (filed for a common share shelf offering), ONCY -6.4% (announces unit offering), TEN -5.6% (announces intention to offer 10 mln shares of common stock in underwritten public offering), EMS -5.2% (announces public stock offering of 6 mln shares by existing equity holders), DRYS -4.0% (announces a $300 mln convertible sr notes offering), VOD -2.3% (trading ex dividend), GENZ -1.5% (reported results of a phase 2/3 study of its advanced phosphate binder; did not show a significant improvement in phosphate lowering)... Analyst comments: EXEL -5.7% (downgraded to Neutral at Merriman), STX -4.1% (downgraded to Underperform at BofA/Merrill), CVH -2.9% (added to Americas Conviction Sell list at Goldman- Reuters), WDC -2.8% (downgraded to Underperform at BofA/Merrill), TGT -1.6% (cut to Neutral by Goldman Sachs- DJ; also trading ex dividend), RIMM -0.9% (downgraded to Market Perform at Oppenheimer).
Hate Is Driving This Market
By Rev Shark
RealMoney.com Contributor
11/18/2009 8:42 AM EST
It requires a very unusual mind to undertake the analysis of the obvious.
-- Alfred North Whitehead
Since the low in March, the most notable characteristic of this market is how often we have had long streaks of positive days with hardly any dips at all. We have seen a number of runs where we've been up eight out of 10 days, and where the down days are just a few points.
The irony of this action is that it favors a buy-and-hold approach, which was widely discredited when the market melted down last year and early this year. Active traders, who navigated through the landmines of one of the ugliest markets ever, are now constantly frustrated by a market that does not provide many easy or convenient entry points. We go from a near breakdown to overbought and stay that way. The dips are so shallow as to be almost nonexistent; to complicate things further, volume tends to decline on each one of these runs.
I'm a bit tired of writing about these unusual inclinations, but it is a reflection of one of the most hated market rallies I have ever seen. Despite these tremendous runs we have experienced half a dozen times, many market players just can't bring themselves to fully embrace this market. We have the usual assortment of permabulls who are always optimistic, but the hot-money players, momentum chasers and shorter-term traders never seem to fully embrace this market as they did during other rallies like in 2000.
This reluctance to really embrace the strength is probably what keeps it going. Folks just keep inching in slowly as they become increasingly frustrated when we don't have any pullbacks. The higher we go, the more shrill the talk about how we will go up endlessly, and the more aggressive the dip-buyers are in buying even when the market is just flat.
I've previously discussed the many reasons the mood has been different this time. The most obvious is that people just can't seem to reconcile their personal views of the economy with the strength in the stock market. Another reason is that the bi driving force has been liquidity and weakness in the dollar rather than a focus on improving fundamentals.
While the market has certainly had exceptional performance for quite a long time, it has not been easy to understand or navigate. That is the nature of the market at times, and the best thing we can do is to try to understand the character of the action so we can navigate it better.
I'm the first to admit that I've not had an easy time with this market. I've been consistently underinvested and continue to be surprised every time we have another one of these streaks where we go straight up on declining volume. While I have not made the mistake of trying to short in anticipation of weakness, I have seldom been as heavily long as I would have liked.
If the pattern of prior months holds, this market should stall out around option expiry and then turn down at the end of the month. This month we have the Thanksgiving holiday, which typically is some of the most positive seasonality of the year, so an end-of-the-month dip is going to be a bit trickier to anticipate.
The bulls are feeling good and in control of this market. The bears' best hope is that the complacency is so great that they can catch some folks by surprise.
-----------------------------
Ülespoole avanevad:
In reaction to strong earnings/guidance: CHS +11.3%, BWS +10.1%, CSUN +8.7%, LZB +2.6%, NM +2.5%... Select oil/gas related names showing early strength: REP +1.6%, PBR +1.3%, APA +1.2% (approves Apache's Gas Plus project - Oil & Gas Journal), TOT +1.2%... Select chemical/ag related names showing continued strength: SYT +1.7%, MOS +1.5%, POT +1.3% and MON +1.0% (Cramer makes positive comments on MadMoney)... Select shipping names ticking higher: FRO +4.3%, EXM +3.5%, DSX +3.4%, NAT +3.2% (Cramer makes positive comments on MadMoney), GNK +2.9%... Select solar names trading higher: LDK +13.3% (sells 15% ownership stake in its 15,000 MT polysilicon plant), SOLF +4.8%, JASO +2.2%, FSLR +2.0%, SPWRA +1.6%... Other news: VVUS +16.7% (announces positive results from Ph. 3 study of avanafil in ED), NOK +2.3% (still checking), VE +1.4% (still checking), SII +1.3% (prices 28.0 mln common share offering at $26.50/share and upgraded to Buy at Citigroup)... Analyst comments: XOMA +9.7% (initiated with Buy at Canaccord), CAKE +6.9% (added to Americas Conviction Buy list at Goldman- Reuters), PHM +4.2% (upgraded to Buy at Citigroup), ADI +2.0% (Hearing added to Buy list at tier 1 firm).
Allapoole avanevad:
In reaction to disappointing earnings/guidance: CNQR -7.4%, ADSK -7.3%, CRM -4.0%, BJ -2.3%... Select European financials showing weakness: AIB -2.7% (sees 2009 bad debt charge up EUR1 bln on NAMA - DJ; also announces Dan O'Connor is to take on the role of Executive Chairman), IRE -1.9%, HBC -1.8% (HSBC Holdings confirms sale, leaseback talks for two Paris sites - DJ; also trading ex dividend), RBS -1.6%... Other news: DISH -7.4% (trading ex dividend), SVA -6.6% (filed for a common share shelf offering), ONCY -6.4% (announces unit offering), TEN -5.6% (announces intention to offer 10 mln shares of common stock in underwritten public offering), EMS -5.2% (announces public stock offering of 6 mln shares by existing equity holders), DRYS -4.0% (announces a $300 mln convertible sr notes offering), VOD -2.3% (trading ex dividend), GENZ -1.5% (reported results of a phase 2/3 study of its advanced phosphate binder; did not show a significant improvement in phosphate lowering)... Analyst comments: EXEL -5.7% (downgraded to Neutral at Merriman), STX -4.1% (downgraded to Underperform at BofA/Merrill), CVH -2.9% (added to Americas Conviction Sell list at Goldman- Reuters), WDC -2.8% (downgraded to Underperform at BofA/Merrill), TGT -1.6% (cut to Neutral by Goldman Sachs- DJ; also trading ex dividend), RIMM -0.9% (downgraded to Market Perform at Oppenheimer).
Veelkord aitähh.
Colgate-Palmolive (CL) on täna päeva teises pooles 4% kõrgemale hüpanud. Põhjuseks ülevõtu kuulujutud.