Börsipäev 16. veebruar

The Fed purchased $1.89 bln of 2021-2027 maturities through Permanent Open Market Operations as dealers looked to put back $11.19 bln
RIMM liikus täna hästi, aga kaubelda oli seda siiski suhteliselt keeruline, sest enne avanemist RIMM olulisel määral madalamale ei tulnud ning aktsia avanes $67,25 peal ehk üle 3% plusspoolel. Korraks tuli aktsia peale avanemist ka $67 taseme alla, aga sealt edasi on RIMM pidevalt üles liikunud ning hetkel kaupleb juba $68,35 kandis ehk ligi 5% plusspoolel.
FOMC Minutes from Jan. meeting released; Fed raises economic forecast
Fed comments from minutes on inflation

"Measures of core inflation remained much more subdued, although they also moved up in some countries. In the EMEs, concerns about inflation prompted a number of central banks to tighten policy. Some EMEs reportedly took steps to limit the appreciation of their currencies by intervening in foreign exchange markets, and some acted to discourage capital inflows... The underlying rate of consumer price inflation in recent months was in line with what the staff anticipated at the time of the December meeting, and the staff continued to project that increases in core PCE prices would remain subdued in 2011 and 2012. As in previous projections, the persistent wide margin of economic slack in the forecast was expected to maintain downward pressure on inflation, but this influence was anticipated to be counterbalanced by the continued stability of inflation expectations and by increases in the prices of imported goods. The staff anticipated that brisk increases in energy prices would raise total consumer price inflation above core inflation this year, but that upward pressure from energy prices would wane by next year."
Additional comments from Fed on inflation outlook

"Regarding risks to the inflation outlook, some participants noted that increases in energy and other commodity prices as well as in the prices of imported goods from EMEs posed upside risks. Others, however, noted that the pass-through from increases in commodity prices to broad measures of consumer price inflation in the United States had generally been fairly small. Some participants expressed concern that in a situation in which businesses had been unable to raise prices in response to higher costs for some time, firms might increase them substantially once they found themselves with sufficient pricing power. In any case, the factors affecting the ability of businesses to pass through higher prices to consumers were viewed as complex and hard to monitor in real time. Most participants saw the large degree of resource slack in the economy as likely to remain a force restraining inflation, and while the risk of further disinflation had declined, a number of participants cited concerns that inflation was below its mandate-consistent level and was expected to remain so for some time. Finally, some participants noted that if the very large size of the Federal Reserve's balance sheet led the public to doubt the Committee's ability to withdraw monetary accommodation when doing so becomes appropriate, the result could be upward pressure on inflation expectations and so on actual inflation. To mitigate such risks, it was noted that the Committee should continue its planning for the eventual exit from the current exceptionally accommodative stance of policy."
Summary of FOMC minutes from the Jan 25-26 meeting

Most participants raised their forecast of real GDP growth in 2011 somewhat and continued to anticipate stronger growth this year than in 2010, with a further gradual acceleration during 2012 and 2013. The unemployment rate was still projected to decline gradually over the forecast period but to remain elevated. Because the incoming data on production and spending were stronger, on balance, than the staff's expectations at the time of the December FOMC meeting, the nearterm forecast for the increase in real GDP was revised up. However, the staff's outlook for the pace of economic growth over the medium term was adjusted only slightly relative to the projection prepared for the December meeting... Total inflation was still expected to remain subdued, and core inflation was projected to trend up slowly over the next few years as economic activity picks up but inflation expectations remain well anchored. Despite further increases in commodity prices, measures of underlying inflation remained subdued and longer-run inflation expectations were stable. The underlying rate of consumer price inflation in recent months was in line with what the staff anticipated at the time of the December meeting, and the staff continued to project that increases in core PCE prices would remain subdued in 2011 and 2012. As in previous projections, the persistent wide margin. Measures of underlying consumer price inflation remained low. In December, the core consumer price index (CPI) edged up, as goods prices were unchanged and prices of non-energy services rose slightly.
Lausa uskumatu:
Total inflation was still expected to remain subtued, core inflation was projected to trend up slowly over the next few years as economic activity picks up but inflation expectations remain well anchored