February Empire Manufacturing 19.5 vs 14.0 Briefing.com consensus; January 13.5
VMED - short natuke. MS dg to UW. Teeb küll nägu, et kaupleb ka Londonis, aga põhiasi on Nasdaq.
Peaks kukkuma. Mitte puruks, aga $25 näen mingi kell aski.
Peaks kukkuma. Mitte puruks, aga $25 näen mingi kell aski.
January Capacity Utilization 78.5% vs 78.6% Briefing.com consensus; Prior revised to 78.6% from 78.1%
January Industrial Production 0.0% vs +0.6% Briefing.com consensus; Prior revised to +1.0% from +0.4%
January Industrial Production 0.0% vs +0.6% Briefing.com consensus; Prior revised to +1.0% from +0.4%
A Great Balancing Act
By James "Rev Shark" DePorre
Feb 15, 2012 | 9:01 AM EST | 1 Comment
"So be sure when you step. Step with care and great tact and remember that Life's a Great Balancing Act. Just never forget to be dexterous and deft. And never mix up your right foot with your left." --Dr. Seuss
Hope that Greece has finally put together an austerity deal, plus comments out of China that it's ready to assist Europe, have given the market a boost this morning. A late spike Tuesday took the bears by surprise, and now they are squeezed further as the bulls jump in aggressively.
After a couple of weak days, the bears are hoping that this extremely aggressive dip-buying will stop working. It seems logical that the pattern of behavior slows, but market players have a tendency to stick with what works until they are burned several times. Dip-buying has not failed so far this year, and the bulls aren't going to give up until they are clobbered.
What's impressive about the dip-buying action is that it has prevented the market from declining more than 1% for 30 straight days. According to SentimenTrader.com, this is the fourteenth-longest stretch since 1928.
The big question for market players is to what degree you anticipate the pattern coming to an end. Doug Kass, who often focuses on calling tops and bottoms, is already positioning for a reversal. But trend-followers, such as Investor's Business Daily, are sticking with the momentum and aren't ready to back off, although we have had minor setbacks in the upside move.
I'm trying to play the middle ground. I want to respect the trend and keep buying good stocks, but I want to be ready to hit the exit if negative signs develop. I'm finding fewer charts that I want to buy aggressively, which keeps me cautious. I see opportunities in oil and bulk shippers, but the vast majority of charts need to rest and reset. That keeps me cautious by default, although I have no inclination to try to call a top.
The market is always a balancing act, but it becomes increasingly difficult when there is no dip for many weeks. It can't continue forever, but it certainly can last much longer than most people think is reasonable. Fighting it is extremely costly, but many traders are psychologically driven to play the guessing game of calling a top.
There is no easy way to play it. The best we can do is to be aware of the dynamics at work and be ready to move. The market has cracks developing, but the viciousness of the late spike Tuesday makes it dangerous to be overly bearish. The lack of good technical setups forces higher cash holdings, but so many folks have been underinvested for so long that they give us a constant bid.
We are jumping around on Greece news early on, which suggests volatile action today. The dip-buyers remain formidable, but the bears are gaining confidence. Be ready to move
By James "Rev Shark" DePorre
Feb 15, 2012 | 9:01 AM EST | 1 Comment
"So be sure when you step. Step with care and great tact and remember that Life's a Great Balancing Act. Just never forget to be dexterous and deft. And never mix up your right foot with your left." --Dr. Seuss
Hope that Greece has finally put together an austerity deal, plus comments out of China that it's ready to assist Europe, have given the market a boost this morning. A late spike Tuesday took the bears by surprise, and now they are squeezed further as the bulls jump in aggressively.
After a couple of weak days, the bears are hoping that this extremely aggressive dip-buying will stop working. It seems logical that the pattern of behavior slows, but market players have a tendency to stick with what works until they are burned several times. Dip-buying has not failed so far this year, and the bulls aren't going to give up until they are clobbered.
What's impressive about the dip-buying action is that it has prevented the market from declining more than 1% for 30 straight days. According to SentimenTrader.com, this is the fourteenth-longest stretch since 1928.
The big question for market players is to what degree you anticipate the pattern coming to an end. Doug Kass, who often focuses on calling tops and bottoms, is already positioning for a reversal. But trend-followers, such as Investor's Business Daily, are sticking with the momentum and aren't ready to back off, although we have had minor setbacks in the upside move.
I'm trying to play the middle ground. I want to respect the trend and keep buying good stocks, but I want to be ready to hit the exit if negative signs develop. I'm finding fewer charts that I want to buy aggressively, which keeps me cautious. I see opportunities in oil and bulk shippers, but the vast majority of charts need to rest and reset. That keeps me cautious by default, although I have no inclination to try to call a top.
The market is always a balancing act, but it becomes increasingly difficult when there is no dip for many weeks. It can't continue forever, but it certainly can last much longer than most people think is reasonable. Fighting it is extremely costly, but many traders are psychologically driven to play the guessing game of calling a top.
There is no easy way to play it. The best we can do is to be aware of the dynamics at work and be ready to move. The market has cracks developing, but the viciousness of the late spike Tuesday makes it dangerous to be overly bearish. The lack of good technical setups forces higher cash holdings, but so many folks have been underinvested for so long that they give us a constant bid.
We are jumping around on Greece news early on, which suggests volatile action today. The dip-buyers remain formidable, but the bears are gaining confidence. Be ready to move
Range Resources lifting off the open following Bloomberg article suggesting potential M&A
http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2012-02-15/range-resources-at-56-times-profit-cheap-in-shale-boom-real-m-a.html
http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2012-02-15/range-resources-at-56-times-profit-cheap-in-shale-boom-real-m-a.html
Toon meedetuletuseks siia lingi augusti sündmustele:
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_HdYrx3BV-4&feature=related
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_HdYrx3BV-4&feature=related
Douglas Kass: I am now at my largest net short exposure of the year.
Kass on oma negatiivsele visioonile truuks jäänud.
Kass on oma negatiivsele visioonile truuks jäänud.
Fed's Fisher says QE 3 is a fantasy of Wall Street; says no need for further QE unless deflation or unexpected shock
LED aktsiad on päevasiseselt tugevad, kuna Piper Jaffray ütleb, et 2012. aastal kasvab LED tänavalampide tootmine Hiinas ligi 80%.Sektoris kauplevad aktsiad CREE, LEDS, VECO,AIGX.
AAPL pidu läbi?
Last Time Nasdaq 100 Rebalanced, Moving Apple from 20% to 12%, Caused AAPL Shares to Fall 7% a Week After -ZeroHedge
Vringo $VRNG entered into an agreement with Facebook, Inc. $FB relating to the use of Facetones mark and domain name. Shares halted.
Headlines crossing that Greek finance minster says that the debt swap will be announced Monday if Eurogroup approves bailout
ViewPoint Financial Group (VPFG) will replace SonoSite (SONO) in the S&P SmallCap 600 index after the close of trading today.
Skechers USA prelim ($1.18), may not compare to ($0.22) Capital IQ Consensus Estimate; revs $283.2 mln vs $324.34 mln Capital IQ Consensus Estimate
Zillow prelim $0.03 vs $0.00 Capital IQ Consensus Estimate; revs $19.9 mln vs $18.77 mln Capital IQ Consensus Estimate
Equinix prelim $0.35 vs $0.45 Capital IQ Consensus Estimate; revs $431 mln vs $429.97 mln Capital IQ Consensus Estimate
Equinix sees Q1 revs $443-446 mln vs $445.97 mln Capital IQ Consensus Estimate
Equinix sees FY12 revs over $1.87 bln vs $1.89 bln Capital IQ Consensus Estimate
Equinix sees Q1 revs $443-446 mln vs $445.97 mln Capital IQ Consensus Estimate
Equinix sees FY12 revs over $1.87 bln vs $1.89 bln Capital IQ Consensus Estimate
Hyperdynamics Encounters Oil Shows in Sabu-1 Well Offshore Guinea-Conakry
Co announced that the Hyperdynamics-operated Sabu-1 exploration well reached the planned total depth of 11,844 feet in a water depth of 2,329 feet, approx 90 miles southwest of Conakry, Guinea. The well encountered oil shows while drilling the targeted Upper Cretaceous section. Petrophysical analysis of electric logs indicates the presence of hydrocarbons in non-commercial concentrations in multiple layers of sandstones distributed throughout a 1,300-foot interval of Santonian to Turonian age sediments. The indicated oil saturation appears to be residual, suggesting that larger volumes of oil formerly were present in the reservoirs but subsequently leaked out or that these rocks lay on a hydrocarbon migration pathway. "The Sabu-1 results provide evidence that hydrocarbon generation has taken place in the basin and enhances the prospectivity of our 9,650-square-mile concession, one of the largest in West Africa. The oil and sandstone reservoirs encountered in the Santonian and Turonian age sediments in the well are particularly encouraging in the development of the turbidite fan plays further down dip on the concession."
Co announced that the Hyperdynamics-operated Sabu-1 exploration well reached the planned total depth of 11,844 feet in a water depth of 2,329 feet, approx 90 miles southwest of Conakry, Guinea. The well encountered oil shows while drilling the targeted Upper Cretaceous section. Petrophysical analysis of electric logs indicates the presence of hydrocarbons in non-commercial concentrations in multiple layers of sandstones distributed throughout a 1,300-foot interval of Santonian to Turonian age sediments. The indicated oil saturation appears to be residual, suggesting that larger volumes of oil formerly were present in the reservoirs but subsequently leaked out or that these rocks lay on a hydrocarbon migration pathway. "The Sabu-1 results provide evidence that hydrocarbon generation has taken place in the basin and enhances the prospectivity of our 9,650-square-mile concession, one of the largest in West Africa. The oil and sandstone reservoirs encountered in the Santonian and Turonian age sediments in the well are particularly encouraging in the development of the turbidite fan plays further down dip on the concession."
Tesla Motors reports wider than expected loss, beats on revs; guides FY12 revs above consensus
Read more: http://www.briefing.com/InPlayEq/InPlay/InPlay.htm#ixzz1mUHFMRo9
Reports Q4 (Dec) loss of $0.69 per share, $0.06 worse than the Capital IQ Consensus Estimate of ($0.63); revenues rose 7.4% year/year to $39 mln vs the $37.44 mln consensus. Co issues upside guidance for FY12, sees FY12 revs of $550-560 mln, split about 10%/90% between the first and second halves of 2012, vs. $521.21 mln Capital IQ Consensus Estimate. "2012 is really a year of two halves for Tesla. Before Model S is launched, we expect that our quarterly revenue in the first half of the year should be lower than Q4. This is based on a lower rate of Roadster sales due to its availability only in Europe and Asia, as well as the transitions in our powertrain activities from existing Daimler and Toyota projects to the new development program for Daimler and start of component sales for the Toyota RAV4 EV. After Model S deliveries begin, our revenues should increase significantly."
Read more: http://www.briefing.com/InPlayEq/InPlay/InPlay.htm#ixzz1mUHFMRo9
Reports Q4 (Dec) loss of $0.69 per share, $0.06 worse than the Capital IQ Consensus Estimate of ($0.63); revenues rose 7.4% year/year to $39 mln vs the $37.44 mln consensus. Co issues upside guidance for FY12, sees FY12 revs of $550-560 mln, split about 10%/90% between the first and second halves of 2012, vs. $521.21 mln Capital IQ Consensus Estimate. "2012 is really a year of two halves for Tesla. Before Model S is launched, we expect that our quarterly revenue in the first half of the year should be lower than Q4. This is based on a lower rate of Roadster sales due to its availability only in Europe and Asia, as well as the transitions in our powertrain activities from existing Daimler and Toyota projects to the new development program for Daimler and start of component sales for the Toyota RAV4 EV. After Model S deliveries begin, our revenues should increase significantly."