kristjan, ei lasta maha.
Kreml viib RTS-serveri oma hoole alla ja kõigile aktsiatele määratakse aasta alguse hinnad. Müüa saad aga aktsiat ainult juhul, kui keegi soovib seda aasta alguse hinnaga osta.
RTSi 1967 puntki oleks siis 45 % tõusu siit. Sellest statementist vähe tolku veel kuna täna oleme endiselt - 5 % allahindluse juures.
Noppeid Lehmani pressikast:
The Firm intends to spin off to its shareholders $25 billion to $30 billion of its commercial real estate portfolio into a separate publicly- traded company, Real Estate Investments Global ("REI Global"), in the first quarter of 2009.
Lehman Brothers took several steps to significantly reduce its real estate portfolio in the third quarter. The Firm reduced its residential mortgage exposure by 31% to $17.2 billion. Further, Lehman Brothers is formally engaged with BlackRock Financial Management, Inc. to sell approximately $4.0 billion of the Firm's UK residential mortgage portfolio and expects to complete the sale within the next few weeks.
Lehman Brothers has announced its intent to sell a majority stake (estimated to be approximately 55%) in a subset of its Investment Management Division. The Firm is in advanced discussions with a number of potential partners for the IMD Business and expects to announce the details of the transaction in due course.
Freemanter, ega päris tõsiselt ei mõelnudki. Sellel avaldusel sisuliselt puudub väärtus.
Jep, ma sõnastasin valesti. Mõtlesin härra Karu statementi mis hetke seisuga veel ei meelita RTSi kõrgustesse.
RTS market cap peaks praegu olema 100 miljardi ringis. Põhimõtteliselt võiks Medvedka selle ju lihtsalt üles osta :-D
lauris71, kust sa sellise numbri said? RTSi õige turuväärtus on üle $600 miljardi.
JP Morgan Venemaa kohta:
Russia Eq Strategy: With uncertainty on all fronts, we believe pressure on Russian equities will continue in the coming months. We therefore reiterate our UW recommendation on Russia. Commodity plays remain exposed as country rotation remains the predominant theme. Thus far, funds seem to have rotated out of Russia and Brazil into Turkey and South African consumers, but mainly into developed markets. Banks and real estate may remain hostage to weakening macro conditions. For a change, beaten-down utilities offer an opportunity in our view, given positive regulatory developments.
Oops, jutt küll ainult RTS indeksist, artikkel ise aga siin:
http://www.marketwatch.com/news/story/russian-equities-tumble-sell-off-continues/story.aspx?guid=%7B2E64E7A2-3526-4F87-9605-5246CF662691%7D&dist=msr_4
http://www.marketwatch.com/news/story/russian-equities-tumble-sell-off-continues/story.aspx?guid=%7B2E64E7A2-3526-4F87-9605-5246CF662691%7D&dist=msr_4
Ma usun, et Medvedjevi taolist avaldust tasub väga tõsiselt tähele panna (välja arvatud muidugi neil, kelle arvates Mecheli case läks nii lahti, et Putinil oli ühel suvehommikul paha tuju ja ta läks valas selle esimeses kohas esimese ettejuhtuva asja peale välja). Pildi muudavad võimalikud meetmed toetamaks batjushka sõnu paraku aga olulisemalt karusemaks.
Lehmani konverentsikõnelt: M&A activity remains solid...
Hunt, äkki kommenteerid, milliseid meetmeid sa perspektiivis näed?
Mecheli asi lahenes ju väga tsiviliseeritult?
Mecheli asi lahenes ju väga tsiviliseeritult?
Saksamaa DAX -0.18%
Prantsusmaa CAC 40 +0.09%
Inglismaa FTSE 100 -0.70%
Hispaania IBEX 35 -1.08%
Venemaa MICEX -4.91%
Poola WIG -2.12%
Aasia turud:
Jaapani Nikkei 225 -0.44%
Hong Kongi Hang Seng -2.40%
Hiina Shanghai A (kodumaine) +0.23%
Hiina Shanghai B (välismaine) +0.46%
Lõuna-Korea Kosdaq -0.84%
Tai Set 50 -1.38%
India Sensex -1.60%
Loomulikult pole mul aimugi, mida Venemaa riigiisad sellest teemast tegelikult arvavad/plaanivad. Mida ma ütelda tahtsin on see, et Medvedjevi kaaluga mees ei räägi taolistel teemadel pulli pärast. Pigem on see alguse panemine väga hästi läbi mõeldud protsessile (mis ei pruugi loomulikult teoks saada).
Aga kui ikkagi üritaks peatada hindade langust (loe raha väljavoolu maalt) - mida siis teha annaks(eeldades et investoreid veel päris maha laskma ei hakata - kuidas sa nad ikka selleks Moskvasse meelitad).
Aga kui ikkagi üritaks peatada hindade langust (loe raha väljavoolu maalt) - mida siis teha annaks(eeldades et investoreid veel päris maha laskma ei hakata - kuidas sa nad ikka selleks Moskvasse meelitad).
Hope Is the Enemy
By Rev Shark
RealMoney.com Contributor
9/10/2008 9:17 AM EDT
The most glorious moments in your life are not the so-called days of success, but rather those days when out of dejection and despair you feel rise in you a challenge to life, and the promise of future accomplishments.
-- Gustave Flaubert
With the swift failure of the rally off the Fannie (FNM) and Freddie (FRE) bailout, the lack of any market leadership and the precarious position of Lehman (LEH) , the market mood is as negative as we've seen this year. Apparently the LEH conference call this morning has done nothing to reassure the market, as it is now trading down and taking futures with it. As hard as management is trying, they just can't turn bad loans into good.
The good news is that it the only way the market can really bottom is to experience this type of gloom and despair. We have to wring ourselves of any hope and convince all the folks who are barely hanging on to dump stocks. We need the serial bottom-callers to throw in the towel, and we need folks to feel like things will never improve.
While this action is bringing us to that point, it is going to take a while to work through this. It would be a mistake to look for this bear market to end in one day of exquisite misery. We have to go through the cycle of hope and disappointment numerous times before we finally purge ourselves of what is keeping this market down.
At this point, we should be celebrating this despair, because it is ultimately a healthy thing. It sure doesn't feel that way if you are holding long positions, but the way to deal with bad markets is to embrace them rather than fight them.
As I have said a million times lately, this market is in a downtrend, and it is a mistake to anticipate turns. We need to stay defensive and let the market work through these issues. As we've seen, strength is an invitation to sell; hoping that a bounce will hold is a recipe for losses.
We are down hard enough that we may be due for some sort of oversold bounce, but given how bad the action has been lately, you can be sure that plenty of folks are looking for ways to escape the pain or are anxious to put on shorts. Don't get sucked into the hope that is being peddled by the serial bottom-callers -- this market is giving no indication that the downtrend is about to end.
-----------------------------
Ülespoole avanevad:
In reaction to strong earnings/guidance: AVAV +7.3%, HIMX +7.3%, TXN +4.4%, FDX +3.0%... M&A news: IRF +6.1% (Vishay Intertechnology increases all-cash proposal for International Rectifier to $23.00/share in cash from $21.22/share)... Select oil/gas names showing modest strength with crude higher: STO +3.3%, HES +2.5%, TOT +1.0%... Select foreign financials showing strength: MTU +6.0%, AXA +3.5%, UBS +3.3%, DB +1.8%, ING +1.3%, BCS +1.2%,... Other news: SNY +5.6% (continued strength on report Glaxo's Viehbacher to replace Le Fur), STM +5.0% (up in sympathy with TXN), CRM +4.6% (will replace FRE in the S&P 500 after the close on 9/12), UPS +3.6% (up in sympathy with FDX), FAST +3.2% (will replace FNM in the S&P 500 after the close on 9/12)... Analyst comments: AEO +3.0% (upgraded to Buy at BofA), NSC +1.8% (upgraded to Buy at UBS), BJRI +1.6% (upgraded to Buy at Wedbush), HWAY +1.1% (raised to Neutral from Sell by Goldman Sachs - DJ).
Allapoole avanevad:
In reaction to disappointing earnings/guidance: HOFT -8.6%, PAY -7.4%... Select airlines ticking lower with crude higher: DAL -8.9%, AAI -5.1%, LCC -4.3%, UAUA -1.9%... Other news: GFIG -23.0% (announces termination of talks with Tullett Prebon; also downgraded to Sell at Citigroup), XEL -2.9% (announces that it has priced 15 mln shares at $20.86), HUM -1.5% (discloses that it will lose 308k members because its pricing for medical drug benefits are above benchmarks), TSN -1.3% (prices 20 mln shares of common stock at $12.75/share)... Analyst comments: CPHD -3.5% (downgraded to Neutral at Piper), DRIV -1.5% (downgraded to Market Weight at Weisel).
By Rev Shark
RealMoney.com Contributor
9/10/2008 9:17 AM EDT
The most glorious moments in your life are not the so-called days of success, but rather those days when out of dejection and despair you feel rise in you a challenge to life, and the promise of future accomplishments.
-- Gustave Flaubert
With the swift failure of the rally off the Fannie (FNM) and Freddie (FRE) bailout, the lack of any market leadership and the precarious position of Lehman (LEH) , the market mood is as negative as we've seen this year. Apparently the LEH conference call this morning has done nothing to reassure the market, as it is now trading down and taking futures with it. As hard as management is trying, they just can't turn bad loans into good.
The good news is that it the only way the market can really bottom is to experience this type of gloom and despair. We have to wring ourselves of any hope and convince all the folks who are barely hanging on to dump stocks. We need the serial bottom-callers to throw in the towel, and we need folks to feel like things will never improve.
While this action is bringing us to that point, it is going to take a while to work through this. It would be a mistake to look for this bear market to end in one day of exquisite misery. We have to go through the cycle of hope and disappointment numerous times before we finally purge ourselves of what is keeping this market down.
At this point, we should be celebrating this despair, because it is ultimately a healthy thing. It sure doesn't feel that way if you are holding long positions, but the way to deal with bad markets is to embrace them rather than fight them.
As I have said a million times lately, this market is in a downtrend, and it is a mistake to anticipate turns. We need to stay defensive and let the market work through these issues. As we've seen, strength is an invitation to sell; hoping that a bounce will hold is a recipe for losses.
We are down hard enough that we may be due for some sort of oversold bounce, but given how bad the action has been lately, you can be sure that plenty of folks are looking for ways to escape the pain or are anxious to put on shorts. Don't get sucked into the hope that is being peddled by the serial bottom-callers -- this market is giving no indication that the downtrend is about to end.
-----------------------------
Ülespoole avanevad:
In reaction to strong earnings/guidance: AVAV +7.3%, HIMX +7.3%, TXN +4.4%, FDX +3.0%... M&A news: IRF +6.1% (Vishay Intertechnology increases all-cash proposal for International Rectifier to $23.00/share in cash from $21.22/share)... Select oil/gas names showing modest strength with crude higher: STO +3.3%, HES +2.5%, TOT +1.0%... Select foreign financials showing strength: MTU +6.0%, AXA +3.5%, UBS +3.3%, DB +1.8%, ING +1.3%, BCS +1.2%,... Other news: SNY +5.6% (continued strength on report Glaxo's Viehbacher to replace Le Fur), STM +5.0% (up in sympathy with TXN), CRM +4.6% (will replace FRE in the S&P 500 after the close on 9/12), UPS +3.6% (up in sympathy with FDX), FAST +3.2% (will replace FNM in the S&P 500 after the close on 9/12)... Analyst comments: AEO +3.0% (upgraded to Buy at BofA), NSC +1.8% (upgraded to Buy at UBS), BJRI +1.6% (upgraded to Buy at Wedbush), HWAY +1.1% (raised to Neutral from Sell by Goldman Sachs - DJ).
Allapoole avanevad:
In reaction to disappointing earnings/guidance: HOFT -8.6%, PAY -7.4%... Select airlines ticking lower with crude higher: DAL -8.9%, AAI -5.1%, LCC -4.3%, UAUA -1.9%... Other news: GFIG -23.0% (announces termination of talks with Tullett Prebon; also downgraded to Sell at Citigroup), XEL -2.9% (announces that it has priced 15 mln shares at $20.86), HUM -1.5% (discloses that it will lose 308k members because its pricing for medical drug benefits are above benchmarks), TSN -1.3% (prices 20 mln shares of common stock at $12.75/share)... Analyst comments: CPHD -3.5% (downgraded to Neutral at Piper), DRIV -1.5% (downgraded to Market Weight at Weisel).
Hunt'i ja lauris 71 teemaarendusele vahele kommentaariks. Langus on olnud tõesti väga suur ja toimunud väga lühikese aja jooksul. Mitmed teised riigid on palju väiksemate languste peale midagi ette võtnud, et kapitaliturgusid rahustada. Venemaa on selles osas olnud tänase päevani isegi (üli)liberaalne. Iseenesest ei saa ju välistada, et ühel hetkel hakatakse näiteks stabilisatsioonifondi rahadega mingeid börsiettevõtteid kokku ostma (pakkudes teatud floor'i aktsiatele nagu USA valitsus pakkus kinnisvaraturule FNM ja FRE riigistamisega) - eesmärk ikkagi ju kapitaliturgude stabiliseerumist tagada...
Pole viidanudki, et Medvedev pulli pärast räägiks, aga ta ei öelnud midagi uut. Selliseid teateid on tulnud mitu päeva ja et riik oma raha peab turgudele toppima, oli varem selge. Lisandväärtus oli see ehk neile, kes CEO-de sõnavõtte stiilis "kõik on korras, ärge muretsege" rahustavalt võtavad. Loomulikult on uudis positiivne, aga ei tähenda hordide viisi Lääne raha naasmist ning nii võimas riik see Venemaa ka pole, et RTSi üksi aasta alguse tasemetele tagasi viiks. Mis kõik ei tähenda, et turud ei võiks põrgata.
RSX-s eilsest pikk.
RSX-s eilsest pikk.
Long IMCL @ $68.50. See tänane $70 pakkumise jutt tundub kuidagi poolblufina, aga BMY tuleb tõenäoliselt kõrgema pakkumisega välja ja see kõrgem pakkumine peab olema üle $70, et juhtkond endast väga rumalat muljet ei jätaks.
Vahelduseks head turundust Venemaalt:
Out @ $68. Uus kontseptsioon mu jaoks, stop-loss :D